Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets+478 if off Hide small samples+220 if off Holds in every lens+1,370 if off

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 1,537 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

Pin a niche to keep it here while you filter.

Pin another to compare.

Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	FMV + Immersive Sim39 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	39 in 10021 hits	$47,398	not computed	54	none	Pin FMV + Immersive Sim
2	Multiplayer + Sandbox33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 78 launches	33 in 10026 hits	$24,891	not computed	78	none	Pin Multiplayer + Sandbox
3	Base Building + Colony Sim33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 100 launches	33 in 10033 hits	$27,623	not computed	100	none	Pin Base Building + Colony Sim
4	Open World Survival Craft + Survival32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches	32 in 10024 hits	$21,307	not computed	75	none	Pin Open World Survival Craft + Survival
5	Dating Sim + FMV32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches	32 in 10021 hits	$37,833	not computed	66	Audience	Pin Dating Sim + FMV
6	Base Building + Management32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 142 launches	32 in 10045 hits	$14,874	not computed	142	none	Pin Base Building + Management
7	Co-op + FPS31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches	31 in 10016 hits	$3,436	not computed	51	none	Pin Co-op + FPS
8	Base Building + Sandbox31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 166 launches	31 in 10052 hits	$8,568	not computed	166	Audience	Pin Base Building + Sandbox
9	FMV + Visual Novel31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 71 launches	31 in 10022 hits	$37,833	not computed	71	Audience	Pin FMV + Visual Novel
10	Driving + Open World29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 65 launches	29 in 10019 hits	$6,069	not computed	65	none	Pin Driving + Open World
11	Cozy + Life Sim29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches	29 in 10017 hits	$15,561	not computed	59	none	Pin Cozy + Life Sim
12	Co-op + PvE29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 98 launches	29 in 10028 hits	$8,185	not computed	98	none	Pin Co-op + PvE
13	Multiplayer + Realistic29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 91 launches	29 in 10026 hits	$7,642	not computed	91	none	Pin Multiplayer + Realistic
14	Adventure + Cozy28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches	28 in 10021 hits	$9,708	not computed	76	Audience	Pin Adventure + Cozy
15	Life Sim + Open World28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches	28 in 10021 hits	$14,794	not computed	76	Audience	Pin Life Sim + Open World
16	City Builder + Colony Sim27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 122 launches	27 in 10033 hits	$7,080	not computed	122	none	Pin City Builder + Colony Sim
17	Co-op + Roguelite27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 63 launches	27 in 10017 hits	$10,017	not computed	63	none	Pin Co-op + Roguelite
18	Open World + Open World Survival Craft27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 52 launches	27 in 10014 hits	$20,710	not computed	52	none	Pin Open World + Open World Survival Craft
19	Base Building + Survival27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 168 launches	27 in 10045 hits	$9,903	not computed	168	none	Pin Base Building + Survival
20	FPS + Online Co-Op27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches	27 in 10015 hits	$7,485	not computed	56	none	Pin FPS + Online Co-Op
21	Base Building + Exploration27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 127 launches	27 in 10034 hits	$4,857	not computed	127	Audience	Pin Base Building + Exploration
22	Cozy + Exploration27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches	27 in 10023 hits	$12,110	not computed	86	none	Pin Cozy + Exploration
23	Building + Open World26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 85 launches	26 in 10022 hits	$8,726	not computed	85	none	Pin Building + Open World
24	Online Co-Op + Roguelite26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 58 launches	26 in 10015 hits	$13,053	not computed	58	none	Pin Online Co-Op + Roguelite
25	FMV + Interactive Fiction26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 93 launches	26 in 10024 hits	$20,027	not computed	93	Audience	Pin FMV + Interactive Fiction

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 1,537 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.