Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Incremental + Resource Managementabout 8.3 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Incremental + Resource Management14 in 100114 launches 2Idler + Resource Management13 in 100119 launches 3Incremental + Management11 in 100157 launches 4Incremental + Pixel Graphics1 in13214 launches 5Idler + Pixel Graphics1 in12262 launches

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 100+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 100+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Loads the 30+ launches view.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Loads the 30+ launches view.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Loads the 30+ launches view.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Loads the 30+ launches view.

Hide one-hit markets226 out Hide small samples0 out

1,207 of 5,145 niches have 100+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Crafting + Exploration26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 102 launches	26 in 10027 hits	$7,119	not computed	102	none	Pin Crafting + Exploration
2	Open World + Sandbox24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 109 launches	24 in 10026 hits	$6,871	not computed	109	none	Pin Open World + Sandbox
3	Base Building + Building22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 116 launches	22 in 10025 hits	$6,550	not computed	116	1-hit	Pin Base Building + Building
4	Multiplayer + Simulation21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 135 launches	21 in 10029 hits	$6,069	not computed	135	none	Pin Multiplayer + Simulation
5	Building + Sandbox21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 168 launches	21 in 10036 hits	$6,069	not computed	168	none	Pin Building + Sandbox
6	Detective + Investigation20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 104 launches	20 in 10021 hits	$3,151	not computed	104	none	Pin Detective + Investigation
7	Management + Sandbox20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 144 launches	20 in 10029 hits	$5,803	not computed	144	none	Pin Management + Sandbox
8	Management + Resource Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 171 launches	20 in 10034 hits	$4,673	not computed	171	1-hit	Pin Management + Resource Management
9	Crafting + Sandbox20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 106 launches	20 in 10021 hits	$10,525	not computed	106	none	Pin Crafting + Sandbox
10	Investigation + Mystery19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 108 launches	19 in 10021 hits	$2,315	not computed	108	none	Pin Investigation + Mystery
11	Building + Management19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 139 launches	19 in 10027 hits	$6,839	not computed	139	none	Pin Building + Management
12	Adventure + Co-op19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 104 launches	19 in 10020 hits	$4,547	not computed	104	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Co-op
13	Building + Relaxing19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 108 launches	19 in 10020 hits	$2,990	not computed	108	none	Pin Building + Relaxing
14	Building + City Builder18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 114 launches	18 in 10021 hits	$4,673	not computed	114	1-hit	Pin Building + City Builder
15	Base Building + Strategy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 160 launches	18 in 10029 hits	$3,031	not computed	160	none	Pin Base Building + Strategy
16	Sandbox + Strategy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 160 launches	18 in 10029 hits	$2,426	not computed	160	1-hit	Pin Sandbox + Strategy
17	First-Person + Multiplayer18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 138 launches	18 in 10025 hits	$3,185	not computed	138	none	Pin First-Person + Multiplayer
18	Action + Co-op18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 150 launches	18 in 10027 hits	$3,339	not computed	150	none	Pin Action + Co-op
19	Economy + Immersive Sim17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 103 launches	17 in 10018 hits	$8,092	not computed	103	none	Pin Economy + Immersive Sim
20	Detective + Mystery17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 115 launches	17 in 10020 hits	$2,914	not computed	115	Audience	Pin Detective + Mystery
21	Immersive Sim + Management17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 156 launches	17 in 10027 hits	$6,878	not computed	156	none	Pin Immersive Sim + Management
22	Co-op + Multiplayer17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 245 launches	17 in 10042 hits	$4,250	not computed	245	none	Pin Co-op + Multiplayer
23	First-Person + Sandbox17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 129 launches	17 in 10022 hits	$3,088	not computed	129	none	Pin First-Person + Sandbox
24	Open World + Simulation17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 131 launches	17 in 10022 hits	$3,151	not computed	131	none	Pin Open World + Simulation
25	Co-op + Online Co-Op17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 210 launches	17 in 10035 hits	$4,723	not computed	210	none	Pin Co-op + Online Co-Op

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 1,207 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.