Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 30+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.

Hide one-hit markets38 out Hide small samples59 out

4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. 128 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Base Building + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 70 launches	30 in 10021 hits	$21,570	not computed	70	none	Pin Base Building + Management
2	Inventory Management + Roguelike28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	28 in 1009 hits	$24,049	not computed	32	SmallAudience	Pin Inventory Management + Roguelike
3	City Builder + Management24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 72 launches	24 in 10017 hits	$10,687	not computed	72	1-hit	Pin City Builder + Management
4	City Builder + Resource Management22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 55 launches	22 in 10012 hits	$5,119	not computed	55	1-hit	Pin City Builder + Resource Management
5	Base Building + Resource Management22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 79 launches	22 in 10017 hits	$7,286	not computed	79	1-hit	Pin Base Building + Resource Management
6	First-Person + Resource Management21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	21 in 1007 hits	$2,024	not computed	33	Small	Pin First-Person + Resource Management
7	Colony Sim + Management21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	21 in 10010 hits	$11,657	not computed	48	Small	Pin Colony Sim + Management
8	Collectathon + Management21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 34 launches	21 in 1007 hits	$4,854	not computed	34	1-hitSmall	Pin Collectathon + Management
9	Building + Resource Management21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 73 launches	21 in 10015 hits	$6,176	not computed	73	1-hit	Pin Building + Resource Management
10	Management + Sandbox20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 144 launches	20 in 10029 hits	$5,803	not computed	144	none	Pin Management + Sandbox
11	Management + Resource Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 171 launches	20 in 10034 hits	$4,673	not computed	171	1-hit	Pin Management + Resource Management
12	Economy + Resource Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 87 launches	20 in 10017 hits	$3,885	not computed	87	none	Pin Economy + Resource Management
13	Building + Management19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 139 launches	19 in 10027 hits	$6,839	not computed	139	none	Pin Building + Management
14	Crafting + Resource Management19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 52 launches	19 in 10010 hits	$4,673	not computed	52	none	Pin Crafting + Resource Management
15	Resource Management + Sandbox19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 53 launches	19 in 10010 hits	$10,741	not computed	53	1-hit	Pin Resource Management + Sandbox
16	Relaxing + Resource Management18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 65 launches	18 in 10012 hits	$2,630	not computed	65	none	Pin Relaxing + Resource Management
17	Colony Sim + Resource Management18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	18 in 1007 hits	$39,670	not computed	38	Small	Pin Colony Sim + Resource Management
18	Building + Time Management18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	18 in 1006 hits	$5,461	not computed	33	1-hitSmall	Pin Building + Time Management
19	Management + Survival18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	18 in 1006 hits	$5,461	not computed	33	Small	Pin Management + Survival
20	Medieval + Resource Management18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	18 in 1006 hits	$4,855	not computed	33	Small	Pin Medieval + Resource Management
21	Management + Medieval18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	18 in 1007 hits	$4,855	not computed	39	Small	Pin Management + Medieval
22	Immersive Sim + Resource Management18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	18 in 1007 hits	$17,398	not computed	40	Small	Pin Immersive Sim + Resource Management
23	Immersive Sim + Management17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 156 launches	17 in 10027 hits	$6,878	not computed	156	none	Pin Immersive Sim + Management
24	Crafting + Management17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 94 launches	17 in 10016 hits	$6,878	not computed	94	1-hit	Pin Crafting + Management
25	Inventory Management + Strategy17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 36 launches	17 in 1006 hits	$11,002	not computed	36	SmallAudience	Pin Inventory Management + Strategy

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 128 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.