Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches 1 Oct
Of 4,039 niches with 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months, 1,630 beat the 1 in 16 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 192 under $5, 42 in 100 at $20 to $40.1,630 of 4,039 niches beat the 1 in 16 base rate.1,630 beat the base rate.
Cohort median $606
Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.
Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.
Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewThe Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.
4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. 270 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.
| Rank# | Niche | Chance of $100k+ | Typical year | Top 1 in 10 | Launches | Markers | Pin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat | 1 in 161,804 of 29,637 | $606 | not computed | 29,637 | |||
| 1 | 2D + Investigation20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches | 20 in 1006 hits | $5,464 | not computed | 30 | Small | Pin 2D + Investigation |
| 2 | 2D Fighter + Multiplayer13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches | 13 in 1004 hits | $809 | not computed | 30 | SmallAudience | Pin 2D Fighter + Multiplayer |
| 3 | 2D + Open World13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches | 13 in 1006 hits | $1,271 | not computed | 48 | 1-hitSmall | Pin 2D + Open World |
| 4 | 2D + Metroidvania12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 100 launches | 12 in 10012 hits | $1,942 | not computed | 100 | 1-hit | Pin 2D + Metroidvania |
| 5 | 2D Platformer + Metroidvania11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 96 launches | 11 in 10011 hits | $1,410 | not computed | 96 | none | Pin 2D Platformer + Metroidvania |
| 6 | 2D + Souls-like10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 58 launches | 10 in 1006 hits | $606 | not computed | 58 | 1-hitAudience | Pin 2D + Souls-like |
| 7 | 2D Platformer + Sci-fi1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 43 launches | 1 in 114 hits | $221 | not computed | 43 | Small | Pin 2D Platformer + Sci-fi |
| 8 | 1990's + 2D Platformer1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 58 launches | 1 in 125 hits | $121 | not computed | 58 | none | Pin 1990's + 2D Platformer |
| 9 | 2D + Inventory Management1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 1 in 123 hits | $848 | not computed | 37 | Small | Pin 2D + Inventory Management |
| 10 | 2D Fighter + Beat 'em up1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 1 in 123 hits | $162 | not computed | 37 | 1-hitSmall | Pin 2D Fighter + Beat 'em up |
| 11 | 2D + Wargame1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 63 launches | 1 in 135 hits | $685 | not computed | 63 | Audience | Pin 2D + Wargame |
| 12 | 2D Platformer + Anime1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 101 launches | 1 in 138 hits | $1,111 | not computed | 101 | Audience | Pin 2D Platformer + Anime |
| 13 | 2D + Mystery1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 152 launches | 1 in 1312 hits | $606 | not computed | 152 | none | Pin 2D + Mystery |
| 14 | 2D + Life Sim1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 116 launches | 1 in 139 hits | $405 | not computed | 116 | none | Pin 2D + Life Sim |
| 15 | 2D + Co-op1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 39 launches | 1 in 133 hits | $727 | not computed | 39 | SmallAudience | Pin 2D + Co-op |
| 16 | 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 40 launches | 1 in 133 hits | $5,767 | not computed | 40 | SmallAudience | Pin 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder |
| 17 | 2D Platformer + Multiple Endings1 in 14 earned $100k+, from 41 launches | 1 in 143 hits | $303 | not computed | 41 | Small | Pin 2D Platformer + Multiple Endings |
| 18 | 2D + Creature Collector1 in 14 earned $100k+, from 97 launches | 1 in 147 hits | $485 | not computed | 97 | none | Pin 2D + Creature Collector |
| 19 | 2D + Dark Fantasy1 in 14 earned $100k+, from 112 launches | 1 in 148 hits | $564 | not computed | 112 | none | Pin 2D + Dark Fantasy |
| 20 | 2D + Beat 'em up1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 58 launches | 1 in 154 hits | $707 | not computed | 58 | 1-hit | Pin 2D + Beat 'em up |
| 21 | 2D + Rhythm1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 73 launches | 1 in 155 hits | $221 | not computed | 73 | none | Pin 2D + Rhythm |
| 22 | 2D Fighter + PvP1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 44 launches | 1 in 153 hits | $606 | not computed | 44 | 1-hitSmall | Pin 2D Fighter + PvP |
| 23 | 2D + Dark Humor1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 74 launches | 1 in 155 hits | $607 | not computed | 74 | 1-hitAudience | Pin 2D + Dark Humor |
| 24 | 2D + Deckbuilding1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 149 launches | 1 in 1510 hits | $728 | not computed | 149 | none | Pin 2D + Deckbuilding |
| 25 | 2D Platformer + Hack and Slash1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 46 launches | 1 in 153 hits | $728 | not computed | 46 | Small | Pin 2D Platformer + Hack and Slash |
Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.