Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 30+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.

Hide one-hit markets82 out Hide small samples68 out

4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. 228 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

Pin a niche to keep it here while you filter.

Pin another to compare.

Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	3D Platformer + Female Protagonist20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	20 in 1008 hits	$1,213	not computed	40	Small	Pin 3D Platformer + Female Protagonist
2	3D + Co-op16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 68 launches	16 in 10011 hits	$1,516	not computed	68	none	Pin 3D + Co-op
3	3D + Spectacle fighter16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	16 in 1005 hits	$810	not computed	32	Small	Pin 3D + Spectacle fighter
4	3D + Cozy15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	15 in 1006 hits	$2,893	not computed	40	Small	Pin 3D + Cozy
5	3D + Gambling13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	13 in 1004 hits	$809	not computed	30	Small	Pin 3D + Gambling
6	3D + Multiplayer12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 204 launches	12 in 10025 hits	$1,063	not computed	204	none	Pin 3D + Multiplayer
7	3D + Military12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches	12 in 1006 hits	$606	not computed	50	1-hit	Pin 3D + Military
8	3D Platformer + Character Customization12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 34 launches	12 in 1004 hits	$1,012	not computed	34	Small	Pin 3D Platformer + Character Customization
9	3D + Online Co-Op11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 79 launches	11 in 1009 hits	$1,618	not computed	79	none	Pin 3D + Online Co-Op
10	3D + Base Building11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches	11 in 1005 hits	$1,133	not computed	46	1-hitSmall	Pin 3D + Base Building
11	3D + Visual Novel11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 65 launches	11 in 1007 hits	$485	not computed	65	none	Pin 3D + Visual Novel
12	3D + Story Rich10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 167 launches	10 in 10017 hits	$1,778	not computed	167	none	Pin 3D + Story Rich
13	3D + Choose Your Own Adventure1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 92 launches	1 in 109 hits	$281	not computed	92	none	Pin 3D + Choose Your Own Adventure
14	3D Platformer + Collectathon1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 83 launches	1 in 108 hits	$324	not computed	83	none	Pin 3D Platformer + Collectathon
15	3D + Old School1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 42 launches	1 in 114 hits	$485	not computed	42	Small	Pin 3D + Old School
16	3D + Anime1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 96 launches	1 in 119 hits	$2,182	not computed	96	none	Pin 3D + Anime
17	3D + Historical1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 43 launches	1 in 114 hits	$728	not computed	43	SmallAudience	Pin 3D + Historical
18	3D + War1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 43 launches	1 in 114 hits	$909	not computed	43	1-hitSmall	Pin 3D + War
19	3D Platformer + Stylized1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	1 in 115 hits	$404	not computed	54	1-hit	Pin 3D Platformer + Stylized
20	3D + Detective1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 44 launches	1 in 114 hits	$1,416	not computed	44	1-hitSmall	Pin 3D + Detective
21	3D + Sandbox1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 237 launches	1 in 1121 hits	$708	not computed	237	none	Pin 3D + Sandbox
22	3D + Comedy1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 120 launches	1 in 1210 hits	$606	not computed	120	1-hit	Pin 3D + Comedy
23	3D + Building1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 108 launches	1 in 129 hits	$1,112	not computed	108	1-hit	Pin 3D + Building
24	3D + Character Customization1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 121 launches	1 in 1210 hits	$728	not computed	121	Audience	Pin 3D + Character Customization
25	3D + Wargame1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 61 launches	1 in 125 hits	$809	not computed	61	none	Pin 3D + Wargame

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 228 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.