Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 30+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.

Hide one-hit markets59 out Hide small samples69 out

4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. 303 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Adventure + Cozy27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 44 launches	27 in 10012 hits	$7,680	not computed	44	SmallAudience	Pin Adventure + Cozy
2	Adventure + Base Building19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	19 in 1006 hits	$9,111	not computed	31	1-hitSmall	Pin Adventure + Base Building
3	Adventure + Co-op19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 104 launches	19 in 10020 hits	$4,547	not computed	104	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Co-op
4	Adventure + Online Co-Op18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 98 launches	18 in 10018 hits	$4,388	not computed	98	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Online Co-Op
5	Action-Adventure + Co-op18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	18 in 1008 hits	$2,549	not computed	45	Small	Pin Action-Adventure + Co-op
6	Choose Your Own Adventure + Strategy17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 53 launches	17 in 1009 hits	$1,518	not computed	53	Audience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Strategy
7	Action-Adventure + Metroidvania16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 109 launches	16 in 10017 hits	$2,894	not computed	109	Audience	Pin Action-Adventure + Metroidvania
8	Adventure + Narrative15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	15 in 1006 hits	$4,128	not computed	39	Small	Pin Adventure + Narrative
9	Choose Your Own Adventure + Immersive Sim15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches	15 in 1009 hits	$846	not computed	59	Audience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Immersive Sim
10	Adventure + Mythology15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 34 launches	15 in 1005 hits	$1,616	not computed	34	Small	Pin Adventure + Mythology
11	Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 83 launches	14 in 10012 hits	$2,530	not computed	83	Audience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim
12	Action-Adventure + VR14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 35 launches	14 in 1005 hits	$1,457	not computed	35	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Action-Adventure + VR
13	Action-Adventure + Story Rich14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 134 launches	14 in 10019 hits	$2,265	not computed	134	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Story Rich
14	Adventure + Multiplayer14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 123 launches	14 in 10017 hits	$1,778	not computed	123	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Multiplayer
15	Choose Your Own Adventure + Life Sim13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	13 in 1004 hits	$1,011	not computed	30	Small	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Life Sim
16	Adventure + FMV13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	13 in 1005 hits	$6,271	not computed	38	SmallAudience	Pin Adventure + FMV
17	Adventure + Loot13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	13 in 1005 hits	$1,531	not computed	38	SmallAudience	Pin Adventure + Loot
18	Adventure + Noir13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	13 in 1004 hits	$2,123	not computed	31	Small	Pin Adventure + Noir
19	Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches	13 in 1007 hits	$1,050	not computed	56	1-hitAudience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery
20	Adventure + Local Co-Op13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	13 in 1005 hits	$1,821	not computed	40	Small	Pin Adventure + Local Co-Op
21	Adventure + Cinematic12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 165 launches	12 in 10020 hits	$1,092	not computed	165	none	Pin Adventure + Cinematic
22	1990's + Action-Adventure12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 52 launches	12 in 1006 hits	$1,052	not computed	52	Audience	Pin 1990's + Action-Adventure
23	Adventure + Detective12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 139 launches	12 in 10016 hits	$1,699	not computed	139	Audience	Pin Adventure + Detective
24	Adventure + Character Customization11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 61 launches	11 in 1007 hits	$2,023	not computed	61	none	Pin Adventure + Character Customization
25	Adventure + Investigation11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 124 launches	11 in 10014 hits	$1,335	not computed	124	Audience	Pin Adventure + Investigation

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 303 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.