Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 30+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.

Hide one-hit markets57 out Hide small samples63 out

4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. 224 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Interactive Fiction + Strategy25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	25 in 10012 hits	$647	not computed	48	SmallAudience	Pin Interactive Fiction + Strategy
2	Open World + Strategy24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	24 in 1009 hits	$2,185	not computed	38	SmallAudience	Pin Open World + Strategy
3	Story Rich + Strategy RPG23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	23 in 1007 hits	$2,590	not computed	31	SmallAudience	Pin Story Rich + Strategy RPG
4	Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches	19 in 1008 hits	$5,342	not computed	43	1-hitSmall	Pin Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy
5	Loot + Strategy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	18 in 1006 hits	$1,330	not computed	33	1-hitSmall	Pin Loot + Strategy
6	Base Building + Strategy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 160 launches	18 in 10029 hits	$3,031	not computed	160	none	Pin Base Building + Strategy
7	Sandbox + Strategy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 160 launches	18 in 10029 hits	$2,426	not computed	160	1-hit	Pin Sandbox + Strategy
8	Historical + Strategy17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches	17 in 10015 hits	$4,042	not computed	86	1-hit	Pin Historical + Strategy
9	Story Rich + Turn-Based Strategy17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 41 launches	17 in 1007 hits	$4,951	not computed	41	Small	Pin Story Rich + Turn-Based Strategy
10	Choose Your Own Adventure + Strategy17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 53 launches	17 in 1009 hits	$1,518	not computed	53	Audience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Strategy
11	Inventory Management + Strategy17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 36 launches	17 in 1006 hits	$11,002	not computed	36	SmallAudience	Pin Inventory Management + Strategy
12	Colony Sim + Strategy16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 87 launches	16 in 10014 hits	$1,699	not computed	87	none	Pin Colony Sim + Strategy
13	Co-op + Strategy16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	16 in 1006 hits	$1,010	not computed	38	1-hitSmall	Pin Co-op + Strategy
14	Building + Strategy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 195 launches	14 in 10028 hits	$1,415	not computed	195	none	Pin Building + Strategy
15	Roguelike Deckbuilder + Turn-Based Strategy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	14 in 1007 hits	$8,252	not computed	49	SmallAudience	Pin Roguelike Deckbuilder + Turn-Based Strategy
16	Tactical + Turn-Based Strategy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches	14 in 1006 hits	$3,275	not computed	42	Small	Pin Tactical + Turn-Based Strategy
17	City Builder + Strategy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 176 launches	14 in 10025 hits	$1,617	not computed	176	1-hitAudience	Pin City Builder + Strategy
18	Story Rich + Strategy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 97 launches	13 in 10013 hits	$2,831	not computed	97	none	Pin Story Rich + Strategy
19	Crafting + Strategy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches	13 in 10010 hits	$2,225	not computed	76	none	Pin Crafting + Strategy
20	Online Co-Op + Strategy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	13 in 1005 hits	$1,415	not computed	38	1-hitSmall	Pin Online Co-Op + Strategy
21	Strategy + Turn-Based13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 79 launches	13 in 10010 hits	$5,119	not computed	79	none	Pin Strategy + Turn-Based
22	Historical + Turn-Based Strategy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	13 in 1004 hits	$4,048	not computed	32	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Historical + Turn-Based Strategy
23	Roguelike Deckbuilder + Strategy12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 140 launches	12 in 10017 hits	$8,699	not computed	140	1-hit	Pin Roguelike Deckbuilder + Strategy
24	Cozy + Strategy12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	12 in 1004 hits	$2,428	not computed	33	1-hitSmall	Pin Cozy + Strategy
25	Management + Strategy12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 322 launches	12 in 10039 hits	$2,225	not computed	322	none	Pin Management + Strategy

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 224 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.