Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens West-facing view

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Games mostly reviewed outside China: drops games with 35% or more of their reviews in Chinese. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 West-facing view 30+ launches Reset

The West-facing view lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Co-op + Sandbox, 40 in 100. 1,751 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $87,031 typical. 5,130 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Management, 33 in 100. 833 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,080 launches. 5,130 match.

Hide one-hit markets51 out Hide small samples48 out

5,130 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, West-facing view. 162 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, West-facing view, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, West-facing viewthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Management + Multiplayer33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches	33 in 10015 hits	$22,885	not computed	46	1-hitSmall	Pin Management + Multiplayer
2	Base Building + Management33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 135 launches	33 in 10044 hits	$16,148	not computed	135	none	Pin Base Building + Management
3	Colony Sim + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 80 launches	30 in 10024 hits	$21,454	not computed	80	none	Pin Colony Sim + Management
4	City Builder + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 127 launches	30 in 10038 hits	$9,508	not computed	127	1-hit	Pin City Builder + Management
5	Management + Open World29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	29 in 10011 hits	$8,726	not computed	38	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Management + Open World
6	Colony Sim + Resource Management27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 67 launches	27 in 10018 hits	$7,433	not computed	67	none	Pin Colony Sim + Resource Management
7	Management + RTS27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	27 in 10012 hits	$5,178	not computed	45	1-hitSmall	Pin Management + RTS
8	City Builder + Resource Management26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 102 launches	26 in 10027 hits	$7,892	not computed	102	1-hit	Pin City Builder + Resource Management
9	Building + Management25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 263 launches	25 in 10067 hits	$8,726	not computed	263	none	Pin Building + Management
10	Management + Sandbox25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 241 launches	25 in 10061 hits	$10,522	not computed	241	none	Pin Management + Sandbox
11	Inventory Management + Roguelike25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	25 in 10010 hits	$14,994	not computed	40	SmallAudience	Pin Inventory Management + Roguelike
12	Fantasy + Management24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	24 in 10011 hits	$3,560	not computed	45	Small	Pin Fantasy + Management
13	Building + Resource Management24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 128 launches	24 in 10031 hits	$6,374	not computed	128	1-hit	Pin Building + Resource Management
14	Resource Management + Sandbox24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 89 launches	24 in 10021 hits	$12,173	not computed	89	1-hit	Pin Resource Management + Sandbox
15	Management + Realistic23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 84 launches	23 in 10019 hits	$12,889	not computed	84	1-hit	Pin Management + Realistic
16	Base Building + Resource Management22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 147 launches	22 in 10032 hits	$7,286	not computed	147	1-hit	Pin Base Building + Resource Management
17	Building + Time Management21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 70 launches	21 in 10015 hits	$4,143	not computed	70	1-hit	Pin Building + Time Management
18	Exploration + Management21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches	21 in 10018 hits	$4,896	not computed	86	1-hitAudience	Pin Exploration + Management
19	RTS + Resource Management21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches	21 in 1009 hits	$3,132	not computed	43	SmallAudience	Pin RTS + Resource Management
20	Crafting + Management21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 141 launches	21 in 10029 hits	$6,878	not computed	141	1-hit	Pin Crafting + Management
21	Management + Trading20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 93 launches	20 in 10019 hits	$12,297	not computed	93	1-hit	Pin Management + Trading
22	Capitalism + Time Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	20 in 10010 hits	$3,683	not computed	49	Small	Pin Capitalism + Time Management
23	Cooking + Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 79 launches	20 in 10016 hits	$5,825	not computed	79	Audience	Pin Cooking + Management
24	Management + Resource Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 268 launches	20 in 10054 hits	$4,388	not computed	268	1-hit	Pin Management + Resource Management
25	Automation + Resource Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 85 launches	20 in 10017 hits	$5,096	not computed	85	1-hitAudience	Pin Automation + Resource Management

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 162 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.