Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens West-facing view

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Games mostly reviewed outside China: drops games with 35% or more of their reviews in Chinese. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 West-facing view 30+ launches Reset

The West-facing view lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Co-op + Sandbox, 40 in 100. 1,751 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $87,031 typical. 5,130 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Management, 33 in 100. 833 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,080 launches. 5,130 match.

Hide one-hit markets98 out Hide small samples73 out

5,130 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, West-facing view. 307 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, West-facing view, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, West-facing viewthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Base Building + RPG23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches	23 in 10013 hits	$8,255	not computed	56	none	Pin Base Building + RPG
2	RPG + Turn-Based23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	23 in 10011 hits	$21,859	not computed	48	1-hitSmall	Pin RPG + Turn-Based
3	Online Co-Op + RPG22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	22 in 10011 hits	$4,207	not computed	49	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Online Co-Op + RPG
4	Action RPG + Sandbox21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches	21 in 1009 hits	$1,314	not computed	42	SmallAudience	Pin Action RPG + Sandbox
5	RPG + Tactical21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches	21 in 10010 hits	$11,739	not computed	47	1-hitSmall	Pin RPG + Tactical
6	Multiplayer + RPG21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 62 launches	21 in 10013 hits	$1,982	not computed	62	none	Pin Multiplayer + RPG
7	Farming Sim + RPG21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 72 launches	21 in 10015 hits	$10,741	not computed	72	Audience	Pin Farming Sim + RPG
8	Inventory Management + RPG20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	20 in 1008 hits	$10,307	not computed	40	SmallAudience	Pin Inventory Management + RPG
9	Loot + RPG20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 82 launches	20 in 10016 hits	$3,070	not computed	82	1-hitAudience	Pin Loot + RPG
10	Metroidvania + RPG19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 67 launches	19 in 10013 hits	$2,367	not computed	67	none	Pin Metroidvania + RPG
11	Crafting + RPG19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 117 launches	19 in 10022 hits	$4,245	not computed	117	none	Pin Crafting + RPG
12	Action RPG + Isometric19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 64 launches	19 in 10012 hits	$2,428	not computed	64	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Isometric
13	CRPG + Story Rich19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	19 in 1006 hits	$15,382	not computed	32	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin CRPG + Story Rich
14	FMV + RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	18 in 1007 hits	$16,597	not computed	38	SmallAudience	Pin FMV + RPG
15	Action RPG + Dark Fantasy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 98 launches	18 in 10018 hits	$2,103	not computed	98	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Dark Fantasy
16	Building + RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 60 launches	18 in 10011 hits	$4,248	not computed	60	none	Pin Building + RPG
17	Life Sim + RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 154 launches	18 in 10028 hits	$3,641	not computed	154	Audience	Pin Life Sim + RPG
18	Open World + RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 222 launches	18 in 10040 hits	$2,428	not computed	222	1-hit	Pin Open World + RPG
19	RPG + Sandbox18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 145 launches	18 in 10026 hits	$2,125	not computed	145	none	Pin RPG + Sandbox
20	Action RPG + Loot18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	18 in 1008 hits	$4,048	not computed	45	1-hitSmall	Pin Action RPG + Loot
21	Action RPG + Character Customization17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 83 launches	17 in 10014 hits	$1,011	not computed	83	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Character Customization
22	Action RPG + Open World17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 114 launches	17 in 10019 hits	$2,125	not computed	114	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Open World
23	RPG + Souls-like16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 153 launches	16 in 10025 hits	$1,920	not computed	153	1-hit	Pin RPG + Souls-like
24	Difficult + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 68 launches	16 in 10011 hits	$6,882	not computed	68	none	Pin Difficult + RPG
25	Story Rich + Strategy RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	16 in 1005 hits	$1,093	not computed	31	SmallAudience	Pin Story Rich + Strategy RPG

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 307 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.