Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens West-facing view

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Games mostly reviewed outside China: drops games with 35% or more of their reviews in Chinese. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 West-facing view 30+ launches Reset

The West-facing view lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Co-op + Sandbox, 40 in 100. 1,751 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $87,031 typical. 5,130 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Management, 33 in 100. 833 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,080 launches. 5,130 match.

Hide one-hit markets113 out Hide small samples51 out

5,130 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, West-facing view. 281 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, West-facing view, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, West-facing viewthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	3D + Co-op16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 143 launches	16 in 10023 hits	$1,112	not computed	143	none	Pin 3D + Co-op
2	3D + Online Co-Op15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 150 launches	15 in 10023 hits	$1,698	not computed	150	none	Pin 3D + Online Co-Op
3	3D + Automation15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches	15 in 1007 hits	$991	not computed	46	Small	Pin 3D + Automation
4	3D + Farming Sim14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 65 launches	14 in 1009 hits	$910	not computed	65	1-hit	Pin 3D + Farming Sim
5	3D + Cozy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches	14 in 1008 hits	$2,425	not computed	59	none	Pin 3D + Cozy
6	3D + Multiplayer13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 337 launches	13 in 10044 hits	$971	not computed	337	none	Pin 3D + Multiplayer
7	3D + Management12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 238 launches	12 in 10029 hits	$2,424	not computed	238	1-hit	Pin 3D + Management
8	3D Platformer + Female Protagonist12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches	12 in 1009 hits	$809	not computed	76	none	Pin 3D Platformer + Female Protagonist
9	3D + Crafting11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 99 launches	11 in 10011 hits	$809	not computed	99	none	Pin 3D + Crafting
10	3D + Gambling11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	11 in 1005 hits	$809	not computed	45	Small	Pin 3D + Gambling
11	3D Platformer + Anime11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	11 in 1005 hits	$401	not computed	45	Small	Pin 3D Platformer + Anime
12	3D + Open World11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 236 launches	11 in 10026 hits	$648	not computed	236	none	Pin 3D + Open World
13	3D + Loot11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 37 launches	11 in 1004 hits	$971	not computed	37	Small	Pin 3D + Loot
14	3D + Cooking11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches	11 in 1008 hits	$1,214	not computed	76	none	Pin 3D + Cooking
15	3D + Spectacle fighter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 60 launches	10 in 1006 hits	$323	not computed	60	none	Pin 3D + Spectacle fighter
16	3D + Lore-Rich10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches	10 in 1005 hits	$806	not computed	50	none	Pin 3D + Lore-Rich
17	3D + Comedy1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 191 launches	1 in 1019 hits	$766	not computed	191	1-hit	Pin 3D + Comedy
18	3D + Base Building1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 101 launches	1 in 1010 hits	$809	not computed	101	1-hit	Pin 3D + Base Building
19	3D + Crime1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 51 launches	1 in 105 hits	$1,052	not computed	51	1-hit	Pin 3D + Crime
20	3D Platformer + Open World1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 51 launches	1 in 105 hits	$405	not computed	51	1-hit	Pin 3D Platformer + Open World
21	3D + Driving1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 211 launches	1 in 1120 hits	$647	not computed	211	none	Pin 3D + Driving
22	3D + Sandbox1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 391 launches	1 in 1137 hits	$809	not computed	391	none	Pin 3D + Sandbox
23	3D + Economy1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 119 launches	1 in 1111 hits	$3,157	not computed	119	1-hit	Pin 3D + Economy
24	3D Platformer + Character Customization1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 65 launches	1 in 116 hits	$1,274	not computed	65	none	Pin 3D Platformer + Character Customization
25	3D Platformer + Online Co-Op1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 44 launches	1 in 114 hits	$2,424	not computed	44	1-hitSmall	Pin 3D Platformer + Online Co-Op

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 281 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.