Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

$10 to $20

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Casual + Cozyabout 3.0 times the 19 in 100 base rate55 in 100

1Casual + Cozy55 in 10058 launches 2FMV + Interactive Fiction53 in 10032 launches 3Building + Life Sim53 in 10032 launches 4Adventure + Cozy52 in 10031 launches 5Cozy + Relaxing49 in 10063 launches

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 30+ launches

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Now: Casual + Cozy, 55 in 100. 1,269 match.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Casual + Cozy, 55 in 100. 706 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Casual + Cozy, $120,225 typical. 1,269 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Now: Co-op + Multiplayer, $1.6M top 1 in 10. 658 match.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Building + Sandbox, 38 in 100. 75 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: Adventure + Exploration, 437 launches. 1,269 match.

Hide one-hit markets23 out Hide small samples24 out

1,269 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at $10 to $20. 46 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at $10 to $20, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat	19 in 100893 of 4,810	$9,226	$248,075	4,810
1	First-Person + Management40 in 100 earned $100k+, from 62 launches	40 in 10025 hits	$47,594	$1,052,474	62	1-hit	Pin First-Person + Management
2	Crafting + Management38 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches	38 in 10019 hits	$47,594	$606,791	50	1-hit	Pin Crafting + Management
3	Management + Sandbox38 in 100 earned $100k+, from 85 launches	38 in 10032 hits	$47,594	$680,076	85	none	Pin Management + Sandbox
4	Management + Resource Management36 in 100 earned $100k+, from 78 launches	36 in 10028 hits	$33,382	$371,542	78	1-hit	Pin Management + Resource Management
5	Building + Management36 in 100 earned $100k+, from 98 launches	36 in 10035 hits	$32,384	$569,428	98	none	Pin Building + Management
6	Immersive Sim + Management35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 93 launches	35 in 10033 hits	$43,461	$680,076	93	none	Pin Immersive Sim + Management
7	Sandbox + Time Management35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	35 in 10011 hits	$43,461	$440,192	31	Small	Pin Sandbox + Time Management
8	Economy + Resource Management35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches	35 in 10016 hits	$39,670	$894,937	46	Small	Pin Economy + Resource Management
9	Management + Shop Keeper34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 44 launches	34 in 10015 hits	$22,885	$606,791	44	1-hitSmall	Pin Management + Shop Keeper
10	Base Building + Management33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 58 launches	33 in 10019 hits	$31,574	$390,362	58	none	Pin Base Building + Management
11	Life Sim + Management32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 96 launches	32 in 10031 hits	$46,559	$363,953	96	none	Pin Life Sim + Management
12	Management + RPG32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	32 in 10010 hits	$31,382	$750,081	31	SmallAudience	Pin Management + RPG
13	Management + Simulation32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 258 launches	32 in 10083 hits	$32,881	$515,310	258	none	Pin Management + Simulation
14	Life Sim + Time Management32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches	32 in 10015 hits	$43,461	$636,746	47	Small	Pin Life Sim + Time Management
15	Management + Relaxing32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches	32 in 10012 hits	$47,594	$391,620	38	Small	Pin Management + Relaxing
16	Capitalism + Management31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 71 launches	31 in 10022 hits	$28,956	$314,475	71	1-hit	Pin Capitalism + Management
17	City Builder + Resource Management31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 36 launches	31 in 10011 hits	$31,574	$391,620	36	1-hitSmall	Pin City Builder + Resource Management
18	Resource Management + Sandbox30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	30 in 10010 hits	$37,241	$439,463	33	1-hitSmall	Pin Resource Management + Sandbox
19	Building + Resource Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches	30 in 10015 hits	$33,382	$581,532	50	1-hit	Pin Building + Resource Management
20	Economy + Time Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	30 in 10012 hits	$32,881	$409,789	40	1-hitSmall	Pin Economy + Time Management
21	Economy + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 154 launches	30 in 10046 hits	$32,013	$448,643	154	none	Pin Economy + Management
22	City Builder + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 44 launches	30 in 10013 hits	$31,382	$391,620	44	1-hitSmall	Pin City Builder + Management
23	Management + Realistic29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 34 launches	29 in 10010 hits	$32,881	$378,827	34	1-hitSmall	Pin Management + Realistic
24	Resource Management + Simulation29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 93 launches	29 in 10027 hits	$35,622	$249,585	93	1-hit	Pin Resource Management + Simulation
25	Management + Time Management29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches	29 in 10019 hits	$34,477	$256,801	66	1-hit	Pin Management + Time Management
26	Casual + Resource Management26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 34 launches	26 in 1009 hits	$26,951	$228,711	34	Small	Pin Casual + Resource Management
27	Casual + Management26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 84 launches	26 in 10022 hits	$34,477	$281,104	84	none	Pin Casual + Management
28	Base Building + Resource Management25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 63 launches	25 in 10016 hits	$31,574	$358,651	63	1-hit	Pin Base Building + Resource Management
29	Management + Trading25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	25 in 10012 hits	$32,013	$539,889	48	1-hitSmall	Pin Management + Trading
30	Immersive Sim + Time Management25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 36 launches	25 in 1009 hits	$25,498	$258,015	36	Small	Pin Immersive Sim + Time Management
31	Management + Strategy25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 138 launches	25 in 10034 hits	$20,152	$245,307	138	none	Pin Management + Strategy
32	Exploration + Management24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches	24 in 1008 hits	$50,085	$231,498	33	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Exploration + Management
33	Crafting + Resource Management24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 34 launches	24 in 1008 hits	$18,453	$280,929	34	Small	Pin Crafting + Resource Management
34	Resource Management + Strategy23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 98 launches	23 in 10023 hits	$20,338	$231,544	98	1-hit	Pin Resource Management + Strategy
35	Colony Sim + Management23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	23 in 1007 hits	$23,315	$281,739	30	Small	Pin Colony Sim + Management
36	Resource Management + Survival23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches	23 in 1007 hits	$22,096	$202,466	30	Small	Pin Resource Management + Survival
37	3D + Management23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 71 launches	23 in 10016 hits	$22,359	$203,613	71	1-hit	Pin 3D + Management
38	3D + Time Management22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 41 launches	22 in 1009 hits	$21,833	$256,801	41	1-hitSmall	Pin 3D + Time Management
39	Exploration + Resource Management22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches	22 in 1007 hits	$31,569	$249,585	32	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Exploration + Resource Management
40	Simulation + Time Management22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 93 launches	22 in 10020 hits	$12,889	$181,613	93	1-hit	Pin Simulation + Time Management
41	First-Person + Time Management19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	19 in 1006 hits	$12,889	$169,403	31	1-hitSmall	Pin First-Person + Time Management
42	Strategy + Time Management13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 72 launches	13 in 1009 hits	$1,538	$106,345	72	none	Pin Strategy + Time Management
43	Casual + Time Management1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 71 launches	1 in 126 hits	$2,428	$71,402	71	none	Pin Casual + Time Management
44	Puzzle + Time Management1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 37 launches	1 in 123 hits	$911	$65,762	37	Small	Pin Puzzle + Time Management
45	Exploration + Time Management1 in 16 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	1 in 162 hits	$1,518	$21,833	31	Small	Pin Exploration + Time Management
46	Adventure + Time Management1 in 31 earned $100k+, from 31 launches	1 in 311 hit	$1,457	$10,120	31	1-hitSmall	Pin Adventure + Time Management

Showing 46 of 46 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.