Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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192,217
on 3 Oct 2026

Genres 3 Oct

Of 156 genres with 30+ launches at $10 to $20, 83 beat the 20 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 238 under $5, 44 in 100 at $20 to $40.83 of 156 genres beat the 20 in 100 base rate.83 beat the base rate.

Typical launch, all prices, first year $552

Genres

Every genre, screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than genre does.

Indie paid Steam launches 12 to 36 months old, data 3 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer. The revenue estimate is soft: about 6 to 7.5 in 100 launches overall.

The genre list

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Now: Shop Keeper, 57 in 100. 156 match.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Online Co-Op, 39 in 100. 68 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Shop Keeper, $123,125 typical. 156 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Now: Co-op, $1M top 1 in 10. 118 match.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Cozy, 51 in 100. 40 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: Simulation, 874 launches. 156 match.
Hide one-hit markets+12 if offHide small samples+30 if off

156 of 256 genres have 30+ launches at $10 to $20. 106 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.

programmingNot in this view: under 30 launches at $10 to $20.
Arcade 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 346 launches at $10 to $20typical $4,391 none
Simulation 24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 874 launches at $10 to $20typical $15,416. Best of the pins none
Genres at $10 to $20, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#GenreChance of $100k+Typical yearTop 1 in 10LaunchesMarkersPin
All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat 20 in 100878 of 4,304 $10,978$287,297 4,304
1 1 in 22 earned $100k+, from 195 launches 1 in 229 hits $3,534 $44,858 195 none Pin VR
2 1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 131 launches 1 in 159 hits $5,769 $68,186 131 Audience Pin Puzzle Platformer
3 1 in 14 earned $100k+, from 172 launches 1 in 1412 hits $2,044 $55,036 172 none Pin Hidden Object
4 1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 97 launches 1 in 128 hits $8,067 $94,775 97 none Pin Text-Based
5 1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 127 launches 1 in 1112 hits $7,868 $96,195 127 none Pin Party-Based RPG
6 1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 152 launches 1 in 1015 hits $5,860 $96,739 152 none Pin Sports
7 10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 180 launches 10 in 10018 hits $3,562 $113,352 180 none Pin 3D Platformer
8 11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches 11 in 1006 hits $9,080 $129,341 56 Audience Pin CRPG
9 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 346 launches 12 in 10040 hits $4,391 $134,893 346 none Pinned Arcade
10 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 127 launches 12 in 10015 hits $5,689 $132,616 127 none Pin Magic
11 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches 12 in 1006 hits $12,169 $151,602 50 none Pin Thriller
12 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 97 launches 12 in 10012 hits $6,643 $122,589 97 Audience Pin Logic
13 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 242 launches 13 in 10032 hits $6,023 $193,413 242 Audience Pin Choose Your Own Adventure
14 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 60 launches 13 in 1008 hits $6,761 $360,680 60 none Pin 2D Fighter
15 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 170 launches 14 in 10023 hits $9,464 $158,883 170 none Pin Romance
16 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 118 launches 14 in 10016 hits $11,496 $137,764 118 none Pin Tactical RPG
17 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 57 launches 14 in 1008 hits $6,448 $143,947 57 none Pin Comic Book
18 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 249 launches 14 in 10035 hits $4,508 $190,045 249 none Pin Point & Click
19 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 84 launches 14 in 10012 hits $10,665 $124,458 84 Audience Pin Precision Platformer
20 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 684 launches 14 in 10098 hits $5,070 $173,428 684 none Pin Puzzle
21 15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 434 launches 15 in 10064 hits $9,963 $199,513 434 Audience Pin Visual Novel
22 15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 106 launches 15 in 10016 hits $7,510 $252,312 106 Audience Pin Shoot 'Em Up
23 15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 230 launches 15 in 10035 hits $10,240 $220,268 230 Audience Pin Interactive Fiction
24 16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 83 launches 16 in 10013 hits $14,178 $234,908 83 Audience Pin Wargame
25 16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 311 launches 16 in 10049 hits $8,758 $239,522 311 none Pin 2D Platformer
Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 106 genres
green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches or 5 hits a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.