Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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192,217
on 3 Oct 2026

Genres 3 Oct

Of 76 genres with 100+ launches at $10 to $20, 40 beat the 20 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 238 under $5, 44 in 100 at $20 to $40.40 of 76 genres beat the 20 in 100 base rate.40 beat the base rate.

Typical launch, all prices, first year $552

Genres

Every genre, screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than genre does.

Indie paid Steam launches 12 to 36 months old, data 3 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer. The revenue estimate is soft: about 6 to 7.5 in 100 launches overall.

The genre list

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Loads the 30+ launches view.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Loads the 30+ launches view.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Loads the 30+ launches view.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Cozy, 51 in 100. 40 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Loads the 30+ launches view.
Hide one-hit markets0 outHide small samples0 outHolds in every lens+38 if off

76 of 256 genres have 100+ launches at $10 to $20. 38 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

parodyNot in this view: under 100 launches at $10 to $20.
hackingNot in this view: under 100 launches at $10 to $20.
VR 1 in 22 earned $100k+, from 195 launches at $10 to $20typical $3,534. Best of the pins none
Genres at $10 to $20, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#GenreChance of $100k+Typical yearTop 1 in 10LaunchesMarkersPin
All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat 20 in 100878 of 4,304 $10,978$287,297 4,304
1 39 in 100 earned $100k+, from 142 launches 39 in 10056 hits $46,042 $865,984 142 none Pin Online Co-Op
2 34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 157 launches 34 in 10054 hits $25,693 $1,032,241 157 none Pin Co-op
3 34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 232 launches 34 in 10079 hits $37,945 $485,241 232 none Pin Life Sim
4 34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 297 launches 34 in 100100 hits $41,499 $488,953 297 none Pin Management
5 34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 161 launches 34 in 10054 hits $43,540 $538,397 161 none Pin Economy
6 33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 360 launches 33 in 100118 hits $30,251 $582,205 360 none Pin Sandbox
7 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 124 launches 31 in 10038 hits $10,626 $569,556 124 none Pin Tower Defense
8 30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 270 launches 30 in 10080 hits $25,972 $549,260 270 none Pin Open World
9 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 381 launches 29 in 100112 hits $24,288 $561,008 381 none Pin Roguelite
10 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 168 launches 29 in 10048 hits $24,727 $599,192 168 none Pin Deckbuilding
11 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 216 launches 28 in 10061 hits $27,134 $392,129 216 none Pin Crafting
12 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 410 launches 28 in 100113 hits $21,406 $599,192 410 none Pin Roguelike
13 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 244 launches 27 in 10066 hits $17,627 $528,278 244 none Pin Action Roguelike
14 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 205 launches 26 in 10054 hits $21,183 $422,417 205 none Pin Psychological Horror
15 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 312 launches 26 in 10080 hits $19,296 $390,351 312 none Pin Immersive Sim
16 25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 220 launches 25 in 10055 hits $11,290 $650,903 220 none Pin FPS
17 25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 191 launches 25 in 10047 hits $17,568 $343,571 191 none Pin Character Customization
18 24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 206 launches 24 in 10050 hits $24,935 $322,489 206 none Pin Survival
19 24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 874 launches 24 in 100208 hits $15,416 $381,863 874 none Pin Simulation
20 23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 113 launches 23 in 10026 hits $25,693 $327,565 113 none Pin Tactical
21 22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 345 launches 22 in 10076 hits $12,981 $309,518 345 none Pin Horror
22 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 107 launches 21 in 10023 hits $10,036 $252,312 107 none Pin Space
23 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 363 launches 21 in 10077 hits $9,621 $330,193 363 none Pin Shooter
24 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 112 launches 21 in 10023 hits $14,458 $258,277 112 none Pin Post-apocalyptic
25 20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 276 launches 20 in 10054 hits $11,113 $270,265 276 none Pin Turn-Based Strategy
Show 13 moreShowing 25 of 38 genres
green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches or 5 hits a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.