Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
2.5D + 3D
Games tagged both 2.5D and 3D: 82 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2.5D + 3D priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
15 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
15 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both 2.5D and 3D priced $10 to $20. 6.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 13.7 for 2.5D-only games and 14.5 for 3D-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 6.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 15), typical first-year earnings $7,589.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +2. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2.5D + 3D is one-hit market +2: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 2 more lenses too. It holds in 0 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view78 of 82 launches | Without the breakout81 of 82 launches | Last 18 months45 of 82 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 821 hits | 781 hits | 810 hits | 451 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.2 in 1001 in 83 | 1.3 in 1001 in 77 | 0.0 in 100 | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $10,812+ | $404 | $243 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +8.3%0.1 more in 100 | -100.0%1.2 fewer in 100 | +83.3%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +33.3%$101 more | -19.8%$60 less | +33.3%$101 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2.5D and 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 82 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 82 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Super Woden: Rally Edge (64.6% of the money): 81 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 45 of 82.
2.5D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| 2.5D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view650 of 686 launches | Without the breakout685 of 686 launches | Last 18 months378 of 686 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 68636 hits | 65034 hits | 68535 hits | 37812 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $23,883+ | $404 | $403 | $324 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -38.5%2.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -0.2%$1 less | -19.8%$80 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2.5D, 6 to 30 months old: 686 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 686 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Rivals of Aether II (13.0% of the money): 685 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 378 of 686.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2.5D + 3D moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.