Niche

2.5D + Casual

Games tagged both 2.5D and Casual: 207 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 30+ launches Reset

Showing 2.5D + Casual priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is too small to compare with 2.5D and is too small to compare with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

23 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tag2.5D

14.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.7 in 100

Typical earnings$9,195

Launches109 / 16 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pair2.5D + Casual

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches23

23 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagCasual

13.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.2 in 100

Typical earnings$3,966

Launches1,010 / 133 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $202.5D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices207 in pair Under $5118 in pair $5 to $1055 in pair $10 to $2023 in pair $20 to $4011 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 23 games tagged both 2.5D and Casual priced $10 to $20. 0 of 23 of them earned $100k+, against 18.6 in 100 for 2.5D-only games and 13.5 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 2.5D alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.

Both: 23 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 23 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 14 of 23 launches · $10k+ 4 of 23 launches · $100k+ 0 of 23 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 23 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Shin chan: Shiro and the Coal Townleads this pair58.7%

PairShin chan: Shiro and the Coal Town58.7%

2.5DInto the Dead: Our Darkest Days14.6%

CasualHouse Flipper 24.1%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 2.5D + Casual

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Shin chan: Shiro and the Coal Town earned 58.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 207 2.5D + Casual launches.
2.5D is led by Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days, with 14.6% of its money.
Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 4.1% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

2.5D + Casual is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

2.5D + Casual through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view195 of 207 launches	Without the breakout206 of 207 launches	Last 18 months72 of 207 launches
Launches counted	2071 hits	1951 hits	2060 hits	720 hits
Earned $100k+	1 of 207too few for a rate	1 of 195too few for a rate	0 of 206too few for a rate	0 of 72too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$131top tenth $3,450+	$143	$131	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+6.2%no change; too few to tell	-100.0%0.5 fewer in 100	-100.0%0.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+9.2%$12 more	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 2.5D and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 207 launches.

Launches counted: 2071 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 207too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $131top tenth $3,450+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 207 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1951 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 195too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $143
Chance against standard: +6.2%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +9.2%$12 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Shin chan: Shiro and the Coal Town (58.7% of the money): 206 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2060 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 206too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $131
Chance against standard: -100.0%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 72 of 207.

Launches counted: 720 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 72too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%0.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 2.5D and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 207 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 207 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Shin chan: Shiro and the Coal Town (58.7% of the money): 206 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 72 of 207.

2.5D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

2.5D through every lens, all prices
2.5D	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view572 of 609 launches	Without the breakout608 of 609 launches	Last 18 months183 of 609 launches
Launches counted	60933 hits	57232 hits	60832 hits	1836 hits
Earned $100k+	5.4 in 1001 in 18	5.6 in 1001 in 18	5.3 in 1001 in 19	3.3 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings	$330top tenth $29,817+	$338	$330	$442
Chance against standard	the base	+3.2%0.2 more in 100	-2.9%0.2 fewer in 100	-39.5%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+2.4%$8 more	0.0%no change	+33.9%$112 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 2.5D, 12 to 36 months old: 609 launches.

Launches counted: 60933 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.4 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $330top tenth $29,817+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 609 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 57232 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $338
Chance against standard: +3.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +2.4%$8 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days (14.6% of the money): 608 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 60832 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $330
Chance against standard: -2.9%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 183 of 609.

Launches counted: 1836 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $442
Chance against standard: -39.5%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +33.9%$112 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 2.5D, 12 to 36 months old: 609 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 609 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days (14.6% of the money): 608 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 183 of 609.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
Casual	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view9,216 of 9,755 launches	Without the breakout9,754 of 9,755 launches	Last 18 months2,936 of 9,755 launches
Launches counted	9,755291 hits	9,216272 hits	9,754290 hits	2,936122 hits
Earned $100k+	3.0 in 1001 in 34	3.0 in 1001 in 34	3.0 in 1001 in 34	4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings	$248top tenth $9,802+	$264	$248	$230
Chance against standard	the base	-1.1%no change	-0.3%no change	+39.3%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+6.5%$16 more	0.0%no change	-7.3%$18 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.

Launches counted: 9,755291 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $248top tenth $9,802+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 9,216272 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $264
Chance against standard: -1.1%no change
Typical against standard: +6.5%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 9,754290 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $248
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.

Launches counted: 2,936122 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $230
Chance against standard: +39.3%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -7.3%$18 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 2.5D + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.