Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / 2D / Base Building
2D + Base Building: a typical launch earns $1,007 in its first year
That is the median of 40 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 84 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 58% on the year before: 82 against 52.
- Price
- $1,007 median of 40 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +315.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 82 52 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 268 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 567 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.14%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.09% to 0.20% | 20 ranked of 269 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,366 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.84xhits against expected | 0.59x to 1.43x | 84 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,855 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 84
- Hit rate
- 3.6%1.1% to 10.4%
- Expected rate
- 5.0%
- Against expected
- 0.84x0.59x to 1.43x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
84 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $744
- Top tenth
- $32,436
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +58%
Parent tags
- 2DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Base BuildingNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Ratopia (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,650 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1.8M
- Winter Burrow (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,870 reviews, 89% positiveest. $1.2M
- Romestead (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,722 reviews, 76% positiveest. $1.1M
- Kingdom Rush 6: Genesis TD (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,912 reviews, 65% positiveest. $822k
- Drill Core (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,136 reviews, 84% positiveest. $795k
- Forage Wizard (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,586 reviews, 87% positiveest. $224k
- Craftomation 101: Programming & Craft (opens the Steam store)2024 · 672 reviews, 83% positiveest. $204k
- Minimalist Tower Defense (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,839 reviews, 94% positiveest. $186k
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with Base Building
pairs with Base Building- Base Building + Colony Sim$22,86553 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Base Building + Automation$14,08239 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Base Building$13,91454 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Base Building + Management$12,38472 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- City Builder + Base Building$11,53773 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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