Niche

2D + Base Building

Games tagged both 2D and Base Building: 71 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing 2D + Base Building priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats 2D and trails Base Building; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with 2D and is too small to compare with Base Building.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

2D + Base Building is too small to compare with 2D and is too small to compare with Base Building: 3 of its 10 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.6 in 100 for 2D and 32.2 in 100 for Base Building.

Small sample: 10 launches, 3 hits.

TIETied

Tag onemood tag2D

16.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds16.6 in 100

Typical earnings$8,118

Launches953 / 158 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pair2D + Base Building

3 of 10launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 10 launches

$1k+9 of 10 launches

$10k+8 of 10 launches

Launches10 / 3 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoBase Building

32.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds32.2 in 100

Typical earnings$35,118

Launches214 / 69 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $202D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices71 in pair Under $541 in pair $5 to $1019 in pair $10 to $2010 in pair$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 10 games tagged both 2D and Base Building priced $10 to $20. 3 of 10 of them earned $100k+, against 16.4 in 100 for 2D-only games and 32.4 in 100 for Base Building-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 2D alone and is too small to compare with Base Building alone.

Both: 10 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 10 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 9 of 10 launches · $10k+ 8 of 10 launches · $100k+ 3 of 10 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 10 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Ratopialeads this pair44.0%

PairRatopia44.0%

2DHollow Knight: Silksong39.4%

Base BuildingSchedule I26.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 2D + Base Building

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Ratopia earned 44.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 71 2D + Base Building launches.
2D is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 39.4% of its money.
Base Building is led by Schedule I, with 26.9% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

2D + Base Building holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D + Base Building through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view67 of 71 launches	Without the breakout70 of 71 launches	Last 18 months21 of 71 launches
Launches counted	715 hits	675 hits	704 hits	210 hits
Earned $100k+	7.0 in 1001 in 14	7.5 in 1001 in 13	4 of 70too few for a rate	0 of 21too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	23 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 41 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+6.0%0.4 more in 100	-18.9%1.3 fewer in 100	-100.0%7.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Base Building, 12 to 36 months old: 71 launches.

Launches counted: 715 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Chance of $10k+: 23 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 41 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 71 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 675 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.5 in 1001 in 13
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +6.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Ratopia (44.0% of the money): 70 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 704 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 70too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -18.9%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 71.

Launches counted: 210 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 21too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%7.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Base Building, 12 to 36 months old: 71 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 71 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Ratopia (44.0% of the money): 70 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 71.

2D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D through every lens, all prices
2D	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view7,851 of 8,361 launches	Without the breakout8,360 of 8,361 launches	Last 18 months2,328 of 8,361 launches
Launches counted	8,361283 hits	7,851261 hits	8,360282 hits	2,32884 hits
Earned $100k+	3.4 in 1001 in 30	3.3 in 1001 in 30	3.4 in 1001 in 30	3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings	$290top tenth $13,574+	$295	$290	$273
Chance against standard	the base	-1.8%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.3%no change	+6.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.7%$5 more	0.0%no change	-5.9%$17 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,361 launches.

Launches counted: 8,361283 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $290top tenth $13,574+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 510 of 8,361 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7,851261 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $295
Chance against standard: -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$5 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.4% of the money): 8,360 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 8,360282 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $290
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,328 of 8,361.

Launches counted: 2,32884 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $273
Chance against standard: +6.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -5.9%$17 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,361 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 510 of 8,361 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.4% of the money): 8,360 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,328 of 8,361.

Base Building holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Base Building through every lens, all prices
Base Building	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view557 of 585 launches	Without the breakout584 of 585 launches	Last 18 months154 of 585 launches
Launches counted	585135 hits	557129 hits	584134 hits	15438 hits
Earned $100k+	23.1 in 100	23.2 in 100	22.9 in 100	24.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$3,867top tenth $683,900+	$4,463	$3,867	$4,680
Chance against standard	the base	+0.4%0.1 more in 100	-0.6%0.1 fewer in 100	+6.9%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+15.4%$596 more	0.0%no change	+21.0%$813 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Base Building, 12 to 36 months old: 585 launches.

Launches counted: 585135 hits
Earned $100k+: 23.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $3,867top tenth $683,900+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 585 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 557129 hits
Earned $100k+: 23.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $4,463
Chance against standard: +0.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +15.4%$596 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (26.9% of the money): 584 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 584134 hits
Earned $100k+: 22.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $3,867
Chance against standard: -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 154 of 585.

Launches counted: 15438 hits
Earned $100k+: 24.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $4,680
Chance against standard: +6.9%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: +21.0%$813 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Base Building, 12 to 36 months old: 585 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 585 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (26.9% of the money): 584 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 154 of 585.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 2D + Base Building moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.