Niche

2D + Card Game

Games tagged both 2D and Card Game: 355 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 30+ launches Reset

Showing 2D + Card Game priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

2D + Card Game is about level with 2D and trails Card Game: 15.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.9 in 100 for 2D and 20.9 in 100 for Card Game.

That is about 0.8 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIETied

Tag onemood tag2D

15.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.9 in 100

Typical earnings$7,358

Launches961 / 153 hits

A tie, apart by0.4 in 100

TIETied

This pair2D + Card Game

15.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.5 in 100

$1k+84 in 100

$10k+57 in 100

Launches58 / 9 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

1STWinner

Tag twoCard Game

20.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.9 in 100

Typical earnings$18,010

Launches201 / 42 hits

Pair trails by5.4 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $202D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices355 in pair Under $5172 in pair $5 to $10117 in pair $10 to $2058 in pair$20 to $408: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 58 games tagged both 2D and Card Game priced $10 to $20. 15.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.9 in 100 for 2D-only games and 23.1 in 100 for Card Game-only games, so the mix is about level with 2D alone and trails Card Game alone.

Both: 58 games priced $10 to $20; 15.5 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 84 in 100 · $10k+ 57 in 100 · $100k+ 16 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 58 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Meme Mayhemleads this pair20.7%

PairMeme Mayhem20.7%

2DHollow Knight: Silksong40.1%

Card GameBalatro30.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 2D + Card Game

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Meme Mayhem earned 20.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 355 2D + Card Game launches.
2D is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 40.1% of its money.
Card Game is led by Balatro, with 30.6% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

2D + Card Game holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D + Card Game through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view307 of 355 launches	Without the breakout354 of 355 launches	Last 18 months98 of 355 launches
Launches counted	35511 hits	30710 hits	35410 hits	983 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.3 in 1001 in 31	2.8 in 1001 in 35	3 of 98too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$313top tenth $21,531+	$357	$313	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+5.1%0.2 more in 100	-8.8%0.3 fewer in 100	-1.2%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+14.1%$44 more	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 355 launches.

Launches counted: 35511 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $313top tenth $21,531+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 48 of 355 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 30710 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $357
Chance against standard: +5.1%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +14.1%$44 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Meme Mayhem (20.7% of the money): 354 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 35410 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.8 in 1001 in 35
Typical first-year earnings: $313
Chance against standard: -8.8%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 98 of 355.

Launches counted: 983 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 98too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -1.2%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 355 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 48 of 355 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Meme Mayhem (20.7% of the money): 354 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 98 of 355.

2D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D through every lens, all prices
2D	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view7,744 of 8,243 launches	Without the breakout8,242 of 8,243 launches	Last 18 months2,301 of 8,243 launches
Launches counted	8,243270 hits	7,744248 hits	8,242269 hits	2,30184 hits
Earned $100k+	3.3 in 1001 in 31	3.2 in 1001 in 31	3.3 in 1001 in 31	3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings	$291top tenth $13,367+	$307	$291	$268
Chance against standard	the base	-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.4%no change	+11.5%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.5%$16 more	0.0%no change	-7.9%$23 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,243 launches.

Launches counted: 8,243270 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $291top tenth $13,367+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 499 of 8,243 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7,744248 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $307
Chance against standard: -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.5%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (40.1% of the money): 8,242 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 8,242269 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $291
Chance against standard: -0.4%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,301 of 8,243.

Launches counted: 2,30184 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $268
Chance against standard: +11.5%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -7.9%$23 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,243 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 499 of 8,243 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (40.1% of the money): 8,242 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,301 of 8,243.

Card Game is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Card Game through every lens, all prices
Card Game	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view797 of 895 launches	Without the breakout894 of 895 launches	Last 18 months285 of 895 launches
Launches counted	89561 hits	79754 hits	89460 hits	28519 hits
Earned $100k+	6.8 in 1001 in 15	6.8 in 1001 in 15	6.7 in 1001 in 15	6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings	$569top tenth $55,156+	$663	$569	$714
Chance against standard	the base	-0.6%no change	-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100	-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+16.5%$94 more	0.0%no change	+25.5%$145 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 895 launches.

Launches counted: 89561 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $569top tenth $55,156+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 98 of 895 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 79754 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $663
Chance against standard: -0.6%no change
Typical against standard: +16.5%$94 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (30.6% of the money): 894 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 89460 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $569
Chance against standard: -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 895.

Launches counted: 28519 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $714
Chance against standard: -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +25.5%$145 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 895 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 98 of 895 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (30.6% of the money): 894 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 895.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 2D + Card Game moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.