Niche

2D + Modern

Games tagged both 2D and Modern: 41 indie paid launches, 0 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing 2D + Modern priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

2D + Modern is too small to compare with 2D and is too small to compare with Modern: 0 of its 23 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.4 in 100 for 2D and 0 of 85 launches for Modern.

Small sample: 23 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tag2D

0.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 266

Typical earnings$117

Launches5,053 / 19 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pair2D + Modern

0 of 23launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 23 launches

$1k+5 of 23 launches

$10k+1 of 23 launches

Launches23 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagModern

0 of 85launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 85 launches

$1k+28 in 100

$10k+3 of 85 launches

Launches85 / 0 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 230), typical $162, from 14,050 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $52D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices41 in pair Under $523 in pair $5 to $1010 in pair$10 to $207: too few$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 23 games tagged both 2D and Modern priced under $5. 0 of 23 of them earned $100k+, against 0.4 in 100 for 2D-only games and 0 of 62 for Modern-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 2D alone and is too small to compare with Modern alone.

Both: 23 games priced under $5; 0 of 23 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 5 of 23 launches · $10k+ 1 of 23 launches · $100k+ 0 of 23 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 23 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Moonless Moonleads this pair38.8%

PairMoonless Moon38.8%

2DHollow Knight: Silksong39.4%

ModernThe Drifter53.4%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 2D + Modern

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Moonless Moon earned 38.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 41 2D + Modern launches.
2D is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 39.4% of its money.
Modern is led by The Drifter, with 53.4% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

2D + Modern holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D + Modern through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view37 of 41 launches	Without the breakout40 of 41 launches	Last 18 months12 of 41 launches
Launches counted	410 hits	370 hits	400 hits	120 hits
Earned $100k+	0 of 41too few for a rate	0 of 37too few for a rate	0 of 40too few for a rate	0 of 12too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	2 of 41 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 29 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Modern, 12 to 36 months old: 41 launches.

Launches counted: 410 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 41too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 2 of 41 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 29 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 41 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 370 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 37too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Moonless Moon (38.8% of the money): 40 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 400 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 40too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 12 of 41.

Launches counted: 120 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 12too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Modern, 12 to 36 months old: 41 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 41 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Moonless Moon (38.8% of the money): 40 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 12 of 41.

2D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D through every lens, all prices
2D	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view7,851 of 8,361 launches	Without the breakout8,360 of 8,361 launches	Last 18 months2,328 of 8,361 launches
Launches counted	8,361283 hits	7,851261 hits	8,360282 hits	2,32884 hits
Earned $100k+	3.4 in 1001 in 30	3.3 in 1001 in 30	3.4 in 1001 in 30	3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings	$290top tenth $13,574+	$295	$290	$273
Chance against standard	the base	-1.8%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.3%no change	+6.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.7%$5 more	0.0%no change	-5.9%$17 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,361 launches.

Launches counted: 8,361283 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $290top tenth $13,574+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 510 of 8,361 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7,851261 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $295
Chance against standard: -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$5 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.4% of the money): 8,360 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 8,360282 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $290
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,328 of 8,361.

Launches counted: 2,32884 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $273
Chance against standard: +6.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -5.9%$17 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,361 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 510 of 8,361 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.4% of the money): 8,360 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,328 of 8,361.

Modern is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Modern through every lens, all prices
Modern	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view150 of 168 launches	Without the breakout167 of 168 launches	Last 18 months52 of 168 launches
Launches counted	1686 hits	1506 hits	1675 hits	524 hits
Earned $100k+	3.6 in 1001 in 28	4.0 in 1001 in 25	3.0 in 1001 in 33	4 of 52too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$869top tenth $25,030+	$780	$780	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+12.0%0.4 more in 100	-16.2%0.6 fewer in 100	+115.4%4.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	-10.2%$89 less	-10.2%$89 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Modern, 12 to 36 months old: 168 launches.

Launches counted: 1686 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $869top tenth $25,030+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 168 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1506 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $780
Chance against standard: +12.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -10.2%$89 less

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, The Drifter (53.4% of the money): 167 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1675 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $780
Chance against standard: -16.2%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -10.2%$89 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 52 of 168.

Launches counted: 524 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 52too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +115.4%4.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Modern, 12 to 36 months old: 168 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 168 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Drifter (53.4% of the money): 167 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 52 of 168.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 2D + Modern moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.