Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 2D + Point & Click
2D + Point & Click
Games tagged both 2D and Point & Click: 947 indie paid launches, 28 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2D + Point & Click priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with 2D and trails Point & Click; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2D + Point & Click trails both its tags: 10.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.4 in 100 for 2D and 15.0 in 100 for Point & Click.
That is about 0.6 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 132 games tagged both 2D and Point & Click priced $10 to $20. 10.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.0 for 2D-only games and 18.7 for Point & Click-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 132 games priced $10 to $20; 10.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $2,429.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 132 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2D + Point & Click holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view914 of 947 launches | Without the breakout946 of 947 launches | Last 18 months519 of 947 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 94728 hits | 91428 hits | 94627 hits | 51915 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $9,306+ | $485 | $485 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.3%0.1 more in 100 | -3.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.3%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.5%$80 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Point & Click, 6 to 30 months old: 947 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 947 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Lost and Found Co. (8.8% of the money): 946 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 519 of 947.
2D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 2D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view8,723 of 9,279 launches | Without the breakout9,278 of 9,279 launches | Last 18 months5,071 of 9,279 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,279280 hits | 8,723261 hits | 9,278279 hits | 5,071141 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $12,749+ | $303 | $303 | $243 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -19.8%$60 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 6 to 30 months old: 9,279 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 556 of 9,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (32.4% of the money): 9,278 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 5,071 of 9,279.
Point & Click holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Point & Click | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,916 of 1,981 launches | Without the breakout1,980 of 1,981 launches | Last 18 months1,107 of 1,981 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,98182 hits | 1,91679 hits | 1,98081 hits | 1,10743 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $561top tenth $15,526+ | $566 | $561 | $485 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -4.9%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.9%$5 more | 0.0%no change | -13.5%$76 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Point & Click, 6 to 30 months old: 1,981 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 65 of 1,981 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Roottrees are Dead (8.9% of the money): 1,980 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,107 of 1,981.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2D + Point & Click moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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