Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 2D + Point & Click
2D + Point & Click
Games tagged both 2D and Point & Click: 844 indie paid launches, 20 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2D + Point & Click priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 2D and is about level with Point & Click; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2D + Point & Click trails both its tags: 9.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.9 in 100 for 2D and 14.1 in 100 for Point & Click.
That is 1 in 11, about 0.5 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 116 games tagged both 2D and Point & Click priced $10 to $20. 9.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.8 in 100 for 2D-only games and 18.0 in 100 for Point & Click-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 116 games priced $10 to $20; 9.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 11), typical first-year earnings $2,705.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 116 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2D + Point & Click holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view817 of 844 launches | Without the breakout843 of 844 launches | Last 18 months267 of 844 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 84420 hits | 81720 hits | 84319 hits | 2677 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.4 in 1001 in 41 | 2.3 in 1001 in 44 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $453top tenth $9,102+ | $476 | $453 | $407 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.3%0.1 more in 100 | -4.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | +10.6%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.1%$23 more | 0.0%no change | -10.2%$46 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Point & Click, 12 to 36 months old: 844 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 27 of 844 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, American Arcadia (10.5% of the money): 843 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 267 of 844.
2D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| 2D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,744 of 8,243 launches | Without the breakout8,242 of 8,243 launches | Last 18 months2,301 of 8,243 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8,243270 hits | 7,744248 hits | 8,242269 hits | 2,30184 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.3 in 1001 in 31 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 | 3.3 in 1001 in 31 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $291top tenth $13,367+ | $307 | $291 | $268 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change | +11.5%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.5%$16 more | 0.0%no change | -7.9%$23 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,243 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 499 of 8,243 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (40.1% of the money): 8,242 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,301 of 8,243.
Point & Click holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Point & Click | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,672 of 1,727 launches | Without the breakout1,726 of 1,727 launches | Last 18 months524 of 1,727 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,72764 hits | 1,67261 hits | 1,72663 hits | 52422 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.6 in 1001 in 27 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $517top tenth $16,489+ | $536 | $517 | $490 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | +13.3%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.7%$19 more | 0.0%no change | -5.2%$27 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Point & Click, 12 to 36 months old: 1,727 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 55 of 1,727 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (16.3% of the money): 1,726 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 524 of 1,727.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2D + Point & Click moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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