Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
2D + Sandbox
Games tagged both 2D and Sandbox: 221 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2D + Sandbox priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2D + Sandbox beats 2D and trails Sandbox: 21.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.4 in 100 for 2D and 30.7 in 100 for Sandbox.
That is about 1.2 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both 2D and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 21.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.2 for 2D-only games and 31.5 for Sandbox-only games, so the mix beats 2D alone and trails Sandbox alone.
Both: 32 games priced $10 to $20; 21.9 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $23,411.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2D + Sandbox holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view216 of 221 launches | Without the breakout220 of 221 launches | Last 18 months145 of 221 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 22111 hits | 21611 hits | 22010 hits | 1458 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $546top tenth $30,355+ | $566 | $546 | $487 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.0%0.1 more in 100 | -10.0%0.5 fewer in 100 | +10.0%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.7%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -10.8%$59 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 221 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 221 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tinkerlands (17.3% of the money): 220 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 145 of 221.
2D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 2D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view8,723 of 9,279 launches | Without the breakout9,278 of 9,279 launches | Last 18 months5,071 of 9,279 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,279280 hits | 8,723261 hits | 9,278279 hits | 5,071141 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $12,749+ | $303 | $303 | $243 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -19.8%$60 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 6 to 30 months old: 9,279 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 556 of 9,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (32.4% of the money): 9,278 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 5,071 of 9,279.
Sandbox holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Sandbox | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,352 of 1,394 launches | Without the breakout1,393 of 1,394 launches | Last 18 months822 of 1,394 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,394210 hits | 1,352198 hits | 1,393209 hits | 822109 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.1 in 100 | 14.6 in 100 | 15.0 in 100 | 13.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,841top tenth $239,640+ | $1,840 | $1,841 | $1,618 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.3%0.5 fewer in 100 | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -11.9%1.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -0.1%$1 less | 0.0%no change | -12.1%$223 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 1,394 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,394 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.6% of the money): 1,393 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 822 of 1,394.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2D + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.