Niche

2D Platformer + Casual

Games tagged both 2D Platformer and Casual: 980 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 100+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 100+ launches Reset

Showing 2D Platformer + Casual priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 2D Platformer and is about level with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

58 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

1STWinner

Tag one2D Platformer

14.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.5 in 100

Typical earnings$6,569

Launches311 / 45 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pair2D Platformer + Casual

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches58

58 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

2NDRunner-up

Tag twomood tagCasual

11.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds11.4 in 100

Typical earnings$2,971

Launches1,009 / 115 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices980 in pair Under $5687 in pair $5 to $10181 in pair $10 to $2058 in pair $20 to $4054 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 58 games tagged both 2D Platformer and Casual priced $10 to $20. 8.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.8 in 100 for 2D Platformer-only games and 11.6 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix trails 2D Platformer alone and is about level with Casual alone.

Both: 58 games priced $10 to $20; 8.6 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 12), typical first-year earnings $715.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 58 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Thank Goodness You're Here!leads this pair39.8%

PairThank Goodness You're Here!39.8%

2D PlatformerNeva6.7%

CasualHouse Flipper 23.8%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 2D Platformer + Casual

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Thank Goodness You're Here! earned 39.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 980 2D Platformer + Casual launches.
2D Platformer is led by Neva, with 6.7% of its money.
Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 3.8% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

2D Platformer + Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

2D Platformer + Casual through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view854 of 980 launches	Without the breakout979 of 980 launches	Last 18 months282 of 980 launches
Launches counted	98010 hits	8549 hits	9799 hits	2824 hits
Earned $100k+	1.0 in 1001 in 98	1.1 in 1001 in 95	0.9 in 1001 in 109	4 of 282too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$63top tenth $2,327+	$67	$63	$38
Chance against standard	the base	+3.3%no change	-9.9%0.1 fewer in 100	+39.0%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+6.3%$4 more	0.0%no change	-39.7%$25 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D Platformer and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 980 launches.

Launches counted: 98010 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.0 in 1001 in 98
Typical first-year earnings: $63top tenth $2,327+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 126 of 980 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 8549 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.1 in 1001 in 95
Typical first-year earnings: $67
Chance against standard: +3.3%no change
Typical against standard: +6.3%$4 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Thank Goodness You're Here! (39.8% of the money): 979 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 9799 hits
Earned $100k+: 0.9 in 1001 in 109
Typical first-year earnings: $63
Chance against standard: -9.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 282 of 980.

Launches counted: 2824 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 282too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $38
Chance against standard: +39.0%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -39.7%$25 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D Platformer and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 980 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 126 of 980 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Thank Goodness You're Here! (39.8% of the money): 979 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 282 of 980.

2D Platformer holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D Platformer through every lens, all prices
2D Platformer	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view2,294 of 2,530 launches	Without the breakout2,529 of 2,530 launches	Last 18 months681 of 2,530 launches
Launches counted	2,53078 hits	2,29470 hits	2,52977 hits	68125 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.1 in 1001 in 33	3.0 in 1001 in 33	3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings	$191top tenth $9,404+	$202	$191	$191
Chance against standard	the base	-1.0%no change	-1.2%no change	+19.1%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.8%$11 more	0.0%no change	0.0%no change
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 2D Platformer, 12 to 36 months old: 2,530 launches.

Launches counted: 2,53078 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $191top tenth $9,404+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 236 of 2,530 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2,29470 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $202
Chance against standard: -1.0%no change
Typical against standard: +5.8%$11 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Neva (6.7% of the money): 2,529 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,52977 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $191
Chance against standard: -1.2%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 681 of 2,530.

Launches counted: 68125 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $191
Chance against standard: +19.1%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 2D Platformer, 12 to 36 months old: 2,530 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 236 of 2,530 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Neva (6.7% of the money): 2,529 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 681 of 2,530.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
Casual	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view9,211 of 9,751 launches	Without the breakout9,750 of 9,751 launches	Last 18 months2,939 of 9,751 launches
Launches counted	9,751259 hits	9,211240 hits	9,750258 hits	2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+	2.7 in 1001 in 38	2.6 in 1001 in 38	2.6 in 1001 in 38	3.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings	$253top tenth $8,786+	$257	$253	$230
Chance against standard	the base	-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.4%no change	+37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.6%$4 more	0.0%no change	-9.1%$23 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.

Launches counted: 9,751259 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings: $253top tenth $8,786+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 9,211240 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings: $257
Chance against standard: -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.6%$4 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 9,750258 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings: $253
Chance against standard: -0.4%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

Launches counted: 2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $230
Chance against standard: +37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard: -9.1%$23 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 2D Platformer + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.