Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Horror
Games tagged both 3D and Horror: 1,257 indie paid launches, 56 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Horror priced $10 to $20, without the breakout. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with 3D and trails Horror; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Horror beats both its tags: 21.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 19.9 in 100 for Horror.
That is about 1.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 76 games tagged both 3D and Horror priced $10 to $20. 21.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 13.7 for 3D-only games and 19.6 for Horror-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 76 games priced $10 to $20; 21.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $4,128.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 76 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The without the breakout lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Horror holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,212 of 1,257 launches | Without the breakout1,256 of 1,257 launches | Last 18 months677 of 1,257 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,25756 hits | 1,21253 hits | 1,25655 hits | 67726 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $605top tenth $15,455+ | $605 | $605 | $564 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.6%0.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.8%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 1,257 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 45 of 1,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (61.1% of the money): 1,256 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 677 of 1,257.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Horror holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,529 of 3,676 launches | Without the breakout3,675 of 3,676 launches | Last 18 months2,001 of 3,676 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,676218 hits | 3,529211 hits | 3,675217 hits | 2,00197 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,029top tenth $35,417+ | $1,029 | $1,029 | $909 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.7%0.1 more in 100 | 0.0%no change | -18.6%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.7%$120 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 3,676 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 147 of 3,676 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (18.8% of the money): 3,675 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,001 of 3,676.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Horror moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.