Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Management
3D + Management
Games tagged both 3D and Management: 197 indie paid launches, 26 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Management priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Management beats 3D and trails Management: 26.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.2 in 100 for 3D and 33.0 in 100 for Management.
That is about 1.3 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 61 games tagged both 3D and Management priced $10 to $20. 26.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.4 in 100 for 3D-only games and 34.7 in 100 for Management-only games, so the mix beats 3D alone and trails Management alone.
Both: 61 games priced $10 to $20; 26.2 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 87 in 100 · $10k+ 67 in 100 · $100k+ 26 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 61 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Management is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view196 of 197 launches | Without the breakout196 of 197 launches | Last 18 months73 of 197 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 19726 hits | 19626 hits | 19625 hits | 736 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 13.2 in 100 | 13.3 in 100 | 12.8 in 100 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,020top tenth $150,908+ | $3,104 | $3,020 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.5%0.1 more in 100 | -3.4%0.4 fewer in 100 | -37.7%5.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.8%$84 more | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Management, 12 to 36 months old: 197 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 197 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Farming Simulator 25 (55.3% of the money): 196 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 73 of 197.
3D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,991 of 6,212 launches | Without the breakout6,211 of 6,212 launches | Last 18 months1,727 of 6,212 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,212266 hits | 5,991260 hits | 6,211265 hits | 1,72786 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $353top tenth $16,040+ | $368 | $353 | $424 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.4%no change | +16.3%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.2%$15 more | 0.0%no change | +20.1%$71 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,212 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 221 of 6,212 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.3% of the money): 6,211 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,727 of 6,212.
Management holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Management | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,004 of 1,036 launches | Without the breakout1,035 of 1,036 launches | Last 18 months350 of 1,036 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,036186 hits | 1,004178 hits | 1,035185 hits | 35055 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 18.0 in 100 | 17.7 in 100 | 17.9 in 100 | 15.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $4,344top tenth $275,205+ | $4,361 | $4,288 | $3,743 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.3%0.2 fewer in 100 | -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -12.5%2.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.4%$17 more | -1.3%$56 less | -13.8%$601 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Management, 12 to 36 months old: 1,036 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,036 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (32.5% of the money): 1,035 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 350 of 1,036.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Management moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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