Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Minimalist
3D + Minimalist
Games tagged both 3D and Minimalist: 198 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Minimalist priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
21 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
21 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 21 games tagged both 3D and Minimalist priced $10 to $20. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.7 for 3D-only games and 21.3 for Minimalist-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 21 games priced $10 to $20; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $1,578.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 21 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Minimalist is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view197 of 198 launches | Without the breakout197 of 198 launches | Last 18 months111 of 198 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1981 hits | 1971 hits | 1970 hits | 1111 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 0.5 in 1001 in 200 | 0.5 in 1001 in 200 | 0.0 in 100 | 0.9 in 1001 in 111 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $4,446+ | $202 | $202 | $182 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -100.0%0.5 fewer in 100 | +80.0%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.9%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Minimalist, 6 to 30 months old: 198 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 198 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Rhythia (23.3% of the money): 197 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 111 of 198.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Minimalist holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Minimalist | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,171 of 1,203 launches | Without the breakout1,202 of 1,203 launches | Last 18 months683 of 1,203 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,20324 hits | 1,17124 hits | 1,20223 hits | 68313 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $5,558+ | $202 | $202 | $182 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -5.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.0%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.9%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Minimalist, 6 to 30 months old: 1,203 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cast n Chill (18.5% of the money): 1,202 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 683 of 1,203.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Minimalist moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.