Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Simulation
3D + Simulation
Games tagged both 3D and Simulation: 1,336 indie paid launches, 76 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Simulation priced $10 to $20, last 18 months, hiding samples under 30 launches. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Simulation is about level with 3D and trails Simulation: 18.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.3 in 100 for 3D and 23.8 in 100 for Simulation.
That is about 0.9 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 201 games tagged both 3D and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 18.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.6 in 100 for 3D-only games and 25.4 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix is about level with 3D alone and trails Simulation alone.
Both: 201 games priced $10 to $20; 18.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $8,873.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 201 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Simulation is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,286 of 1,336 launches | Without the breakout1,335 of 1,336 launches | Last 18 months406 of 1,336 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,33676 hits | 1,28676 hits | 1,33575 hits | 40625 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $569top tenth $32,284+ | $632 | $569 | $677 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.9%0.2 more in 100 | -1.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | +8.2%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +11.1%$63 more | 0.0%no change | +19.0%$108 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 1,336 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 50 of 1,336 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Farming Simulator 25 (25.2% of the money): 1,335 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 406 of 1,336.
3D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,910 of 6,129 launches | Without the breakout6,128 of 6,129 launches | Last 18 months1,744 of 6,129 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,129266 hits | 5,910260 hits | 6,128265 hits | 1,74490 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $351top tenth $15,677+ | $365 | $351 | $421 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.4%no change | +18.9%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$14 more | 0.0%no change | +19.9%$70 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,129 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,129 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.5% of the money): 6,128 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,744 of 6,129.
Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,191 of 4,442 launches | Without the breakout4,441 of 4,442 launches | Last 18 months1,386 of 4,442 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,442408 hits | 4,191389 hits | 4,441407 hits | 1,386133 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $929top tenth $86,074+ | $1,011 | $928 | $1,011 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%0.1 more in 100 | -0.2%no change | +4.5%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.8%$82 more | -0.1%$1 less | +8.8%$82 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,442 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,442 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.9% of the money): 4,441 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,386 of 4,442.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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