Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Abstract + Cute
Games tagged both Abstract and Cute: 62 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Abstract + Cute priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Abstract and is level with Cute; priced under $5 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Abstract + Cute trails both its tags: 0.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.6 in 100 for Abstract and 0.5 in 100 for Cute.
That is about 0.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 45 games tagged both Abstract and Cute priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.7 for Abstract-only games and 0.5 for Cute-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 45 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $162.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 45 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Abstract + Cute is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view59 of 62 launches | Without the breakout61 of 62 launches | Last 18 months33 of 62 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 623 hits | 593 hits | 612 hits | 331 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $17,178+ | $404 | $311 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +6.3%0.3 more in 100 | -31.3%1.5 fewer in 100 | -37.5%1.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -23.0%$93 less | -50.0%$202 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Abstract and Cute, 6 to 30 months old: 62 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 62 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, LEGO® Voyagers (67.0% of the money): 61 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 33 of 62.
Abstract is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Abstract | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view468 of 492 launches | Without the breakout491 of 492 launches | Last 18 months290 of 492 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 49211 hits | 46810 hits | 49110 hits | 2909 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $424top tenth $8,210+ | $425 | $421 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -4.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -9.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | +40.9%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | -0.7%$3 less | +42.9%$182 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Abstract, 6 to 30 months old: 492 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 492 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mycopunk (19.3% of the money): 491 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 290 of 492.
Cute holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cute | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,089 of 4,279 launches | Without the breakout4,278 of 4,279 launches | Last 18 months2,326 of 4,279 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,279218 hits | 4,089200 hits | 4,278217 hits | 2,326111 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $725top tenth $28,533+ | $727 | $725 | $642 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -5.9%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.3%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -11.4%$83 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 6 to 30 months old: 4,279 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 190 of 4,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mewgenics (15.9% of the money): 4,278 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,326 of 4,279.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Abstract + Cute moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.