Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Abstract + Minimalist
Abstract + Minimalist
Games tagged both Abstract and Minimalist: 135 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Abstract + Minimalist priced under $5, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced under $5 it is level with Abstract and is level with Minimalist.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Abstract + Minimalist is level with Abstract and is level with Minimalist: 1.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.6 in 100 for Abstract and 0.6 in 100 for Minimalist.
That is 1 in 100, about 2.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 102 games tagged both Abstract and Minimalist priced under $5. 1.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.4 for Abstract-only games and 0.5 for Minimalist-only games, so the mix beats Abstract alone and is level with Minimalist alone.
Both: 102 games priced under $5; 1.0 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 100), typical first-year earnings $242.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 102 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Abstract + Minimalist is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view133 of 135 launches | Without the breakout134 of 135 launches | Last 18 months80 of 135 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1351 hits | 1331 hits | 1340 hits | 801 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 0.7 in 1001 in 143 | 0.8 in 1001 in 125 | 0.0 in 100 | 1.3 in 1001 in 77 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $364top tenth $5,659+ | $403 | $364 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +14.3%0.1 more in 100 | -100.0%0.7 fewer in 100 | +85.7%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +10.7%$39 more | 0.0%no change | -16.8%$61 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Abstract and Minimalist, 6 to 30 months old: 135 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 135 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Strange Jigsaws (47.5% of the money): 134 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 80 of 135.
Abstract is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Abstract | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view468 of 492 launches | Without the breakout491 of 492 launches | Last 18 months290 of 492 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 49211 hits | 46810 hits | 49110 hits | 2909 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $424top tenth $8,210+ | $425 | $421 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -4.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -9.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | +40.9%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | -0.7%$3 less | +42.9%$182 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Abstract, 6 to 30 months old: 492 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 492 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mycopunk (19.3% of the money): 491 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 290 of 492.
Minimalist holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Minimalist | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,171 of 1,203 launches | Without the breakout1,202 of 1,203 launches | Last 18 months683 of 1,203 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,20324 hits | 1,17124 hits | 1,20223 hits | 68313 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $5,558+ | $202 | $202 | $182 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -5.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.0%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.9%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Minimalist, 6 to 30 months old: 1,203 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cast n Chill (18.5% of the money): 1,202 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 683 of 1,203.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Abstract + Minimalist moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.