Niche

Action + Nonlinear

Games tagged both Action and Nonlinear: 54 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Action + Nonlinear priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Action and is too small to compare with Nonlinear.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Action + Nonlinear is too small to compare with Action and is too small to compare with Nonlinear: 4 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.9 in 100 for Action and 22.6 in 100 for Nonlinear.

Small sample: 11 launches, 4 hits.

TIETied

Tag onemood tagAction

18.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds18.9 in 100

Typical earnings$8,369

Launches1,093 / 207 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairAction + Nonlinear

4 of 11launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds4 of 11 launches

$1k+11 of 11 launches

$10k+6 of 11 launches

Launches11 / 4 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagNonlinear

22.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds22.6 in 100

$1k+87 in 100

$10k+49 in 100

Launches53 / 12 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Action is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices54 in pair Under $520 in pair $5 to $1021 in pair $10 to $2011 in pair$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Action and Nonlinear priced $10 to $20. 4 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 18.8 in 100 for Action-only games and 19.0 in 100 for Nonlinear-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Action alone and is too small to compare with Nonlinear alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 11 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 11 of 11 launches · $10k+ 6 of 11 launches · $100k+ 4 of 11 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Into the Dead: Our Darkest Daysleads this pair73.6%

PairInto the Dead: Our Darkest Days73.6%

ActionPath of Exile 215.3%

NonlinearAnother Crab's Treasure42.9%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Action + Nonlinear

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days earned 73.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 54 Action + Nonlinear launches.
Action is led by Path of Exile 2, with 15.3% of its money.
Nonlinear is led by Another Crab's Treasure, with 42.9% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Action + Nonlinear is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Action + Nonlinear through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view51 of 54 launches	Without the breakout53 of 54 launches	Last 18 months13 of 54 launches
Launches counted	546 hits	515 hits	535 hits	133 hits
Earned $100k+	11.1 in 100	9.8 in 1001 in 10	9.4 in 1001 in 11	3 of 13too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	19 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 50 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-11.8%1.3 fewer in 100	-15.1%1.7 fewer in 100	+107.7%12.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Action and Nonlinear, 12 to 36 months old: 54 launches.

Launches counted: 546 hits
Earned $100k+: 11.1 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 19 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 50 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 54 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 515 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.8 in 1001 in 10
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -11.8%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days (73.6% of the money): 53 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 535 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.4 in 1001 in 11
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -15.1%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 13 of 54.

Launches counted: 133 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 13too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +107.7%12.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Action and Nonlinear, 12 to 36 months old: 54 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 54 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days (73.6% of the money): 53 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 13 of 54.

Action holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Action through every lens, all prices
Action	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view7,762 of 8,002 launches	Without the breakout8,001 of 8,002 launches	Last 18 months2,181 of 8,002 launches
Launches counted	8,002415 hits	7,762398 hits	8,001414 hits	2,181126 hits
Earned $100k+	5.2 in 1001 in 19	5.1 in 1001 in 20	5.2 in 1001 in 19	5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings	$378top tenth $23,253+	$383	$378	$386
Chance against standard	the base	-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.2%no change	+11.4%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.3%$5 more	0.0%no change	+2.1%$8 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Action, 12 to 36 months old: 8,002 launches.

Launches counted: 8,002415 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $378top tenth $23,253+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 240 of 8,002 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7,762398 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $383
Chance against standard: -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.3%$5 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (15.3% of the money): 8,001 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 8,001414 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $378
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,181 of 8,002.

Launches counted: 2,181126 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $386
Chance against standard: +11.4%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: +2.1%$8 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Action, 12 to 36 months old: 8,002 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 240 of 8,002 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (15.3% of the money): 8,001 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,181 of 8,002.

Nonlinear holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Nonlinear through every lens, all prices
Nonlinear	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view232 of 236 launches	Without the breakout235 of 236 launches	Last 18 months56 of 236 launches
Launches counted	23618 hits	23217 hits	23517 hits	564 hits
Earned $100k+	7.6 in 1001 in 13	7.3 in 1001 in 14	7.2 in 1001 in 14	4 of 56too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$974top tenth $42,540+	$1,024	$965	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-3.9%0.3 fewer in 100	-5.2%0.4 fewer in 100	-6.3%0.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+5.1%$50 more	-0.9%$9 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Nonlinear, 12 to 36 months old: 236 launches.

Launches counted: 23618 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $974top tenth $42,540+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 236 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 23217 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,024
Chance against standard: -3.9%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.1%$50 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (42.9% of the money): 235 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 23517 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $965
Chance against standard: -5.2%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.9%$9 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 56 of 236.

Launches counted: 564 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 56too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -6.3%0.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Nonlinear, 12 to 36 months old: 236 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 236 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (42.9% of the money): 235 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 56 of 236.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Action + Nonlinear moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.