Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Action + Old School
Action + Old School
Games tagged both Action and Old School: 222 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Action + Old School priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Action and is about level with Old School; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Action + Old School trails both its tags: 13.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.9 in 100 for Action and 22.1 in 100 for Old School.
That is about 0.7 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 37 games tagged both Action and Old School priced $10 to $20. 13.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.1 in 100 for Action-only games and 27.6 in 100 for Old School-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 37 games priced $10 to $20; 13.5 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 92 in 100 · $10k+ 38 in 100 · $100k+ 14 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 37 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Action + Old School holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view222 of 222 launches | Without the breakout221 of 222 launches | Last 18 months57 of 222 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 22213 hits | 22213 hits | 22112 hits | 575 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.4 in 1001 in 18 | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $574top tenth $26,510+ | $574 | $541 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -7.3%0.4 fewer in 100 | +49.8%2.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -5.7%$33 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action and Old School, 12 to 36 months old: 222 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 222 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (41.5% of the money): 221 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 57 of 222.
Action holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Action | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,762 of 8,002 launches | Without the breakout8,001 of 8,002 launches | Last 18 months2,181 of 8,002 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8,002415 hits | 7,762398 hits | 8,001414 hits | 2,181126 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $378top tenth $23,253+ | $383 | $378 | $386 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.2%no change | +11.4%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.3%$5 more | 0.0%no change | +2.1%$8 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action, 12 to 36 months old: 8,002 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 240 of 8,002 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (15.3% of the money): 8,001 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,181 of 8,002.
Old School holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Old School | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view518 of 522 launches | Without the breakout521 of 522 launches | Last 18 months114 of 522 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 52234 hits | 51834 hits | 52133 hits | 1149 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $569top tenth $35,206+ | $545 | $558 | $490 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.8%0.1 more in 100 | -2.8%0.2 fewer in 100 | +21.2%1.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -4.2%$24 less | -1.9%$11 less | -13.9%$79 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Old School, 12 to 36 months old: 522 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 522 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (27.3% of the money): 521 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 522.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Action + Old School moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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