Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Action + Racing
Games tagged both Action and Racing: 264 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Action + Racing priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Action and is about level with Racing; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Action + Racing beats both its tags: 28.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.9 in 100 for Action and 19.3 in 100 for Racing.
That is about 1.4 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both Action and Racing priced $10 to $20. 28.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 18.7 in 100 for Action-only games and 15.9 in 100 for Racing-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 32 games priced $10 to $20; 28.1 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 81 in 100 · $10k+ 53 in 100 · $100k+ 28 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Action + Racing is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view262 of 264 launches | Without the breakout263 of 264 launches | Last 18 months72 of 264 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 26413 hits | 26213 hits | 26312 hits | 726 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $292top tenth $17,648+ | $295 | $273 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.8%no change | -7.3%0.4 fewer in 100 | +69.2%3.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.0%$3 more | -6.5%$19 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action and Racing, 12 to 36 months old: 264 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 264 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Haste (58.2% of the money): 263 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 72 of 264.
Action holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Action | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,762 of 8,002 launches | Without the breakout8,001 of 8,002 launches | Last 18 months2,181 of 8,002 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8,002415 hits | 7,762398 hits | 8,001414 hits | 2,181126 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $378top tenth $23,253+ | $383 | $378 | $386 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.2%no change | +11.4%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.3%$5 more | 0.0%no change | +2.1%$8 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action, 12 to 36 months old: 8,002 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 240 of 8,002 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (15.3% of the money): 8,001 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,181 of 8,002.
Racing holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Racing | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view751 of 777 launches | Without the breakout776 of 777 launches | Last 18 months206 of 777 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 77739 hits | 75139 hits | 77638 hits | 20614 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $273top tenth $17,231+ | $312 | $273 | $327 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.5%0.2 more in 100 | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +35.4%1.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +14.3%$39 more | 0.0%no change | +19.8%$54 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Racing, 12 to 36 months old: 777 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 777 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Assetto Corsa EVO (24.3% of the money): 776 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 206 of 777.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Action + Racing moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.