Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Action-Adventure + RPG
Action-Adventure + RPG
Games tagged both Action-Adventure and RPG: 635 indie paid launches, 37 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Action-Adventure + RPG priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Action-Adventure and trails RPG; priced $10 to $20 it beats Action-Adventure and is level with RPG.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Action-Adventure + RPG beats Action-Adventure and is level with RPG: 18.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.2 in 100 for Action-Adventure and 18.5 in 100 for RPG.
That is about 1.0 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 109 games tagged both Action-Adventure and RPG priced $10 to $20. 18.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.5 for Action-Adventure-only games and 18.5 for RPG-only games, so the mix beats Action-Adventure alone and is level with RPG alone.
Both: 109 games priced $10 to $20; 18.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $7,650.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 109 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Action-Adventure + RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view562 of 635 launches | Without the breakout634 of 635 launches | Last 18 months342 of 635 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 63537 hits | 56233 hits | 63436 hits | 34215 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $324top tenth $30,379+ | $401 | $324 | $242 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.7%0.1 more in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -24.1%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +23.8%$77 more | 0.0%no change | -25.3%$82 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action-Adventure and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 635 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 73 of 635 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, AI LIMIT (27.9% of the money): 634 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 342 of 635.
Action-Adventure holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Action-Adventure | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,443 of 3,592 launches | Without the breakout3,591 of 3,592 launches | Last 18 months1,851 of 3,592 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,592194 hits | 3,443186 hits | 3,591193 hits | 1,85195 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $23,070+ | $405 | $404 | $363 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -5.6%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -10.1%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action-Adventure, 6 to 30 months old: 3,592 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 149 of 3,592 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, AI LIMIT (7.3% of the money): 3,591 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,851 of 3,592.
RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,513 of 4,151 launches | Without the breakout4,150 of 4,151 launches | Last 18 months2,257 of 4,151 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,151319 hits | 3,513268 hits | 4,150318 hits | 2,257162 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $708top tenth $62,744+ | $728 | $708 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -6.5%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +2.8%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -14.3%$101 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Action-Adventure + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.