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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Action Roguelike + Sci-fi

Niche

Action Roguelike + Sci-fi

Games tagged both Action Roguelike and Sci-fi: 90 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Action Roguelike + Sci-fi priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is too small to compare with Action Roguelike and is too small to compare with Sci-fi; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

14 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

1STWinner
Tag oneAction Roguelike
27.0in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds27.0 in 100
Typical earnings$17,627
Launches244 / 66 hits
Pairno reading
--No reading
This pairAction Roguelike + Sci-fi
--too few
to read
Odds--
Typical earnings--
Launches14

14 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

2NDRunner-up
Tag twomood tagSci-fi
19.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds19.2 in 100
Typical earnings$9,126
Launches240 / 46 hits
Pairno reading
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Sci-fi is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices90 in pairUnder $545 in pair$5 to $1029 in pair$10 to $2014 in pair$20 to $402: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both Action Roguelike and Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. 2 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 27.8 in 100 for Action Roguelike-only games and 19.5 in 100 for Sci-fi-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Action Roguelike alone and is too small to compare with Sci-fi alone.

Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 14 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 12 of 14 launches · $10k+ 9 of 14 launches · $100k+ 2 of 14 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Primordialisleads this pair26.9%
PairPrimordialis26.9%
Action RoguelikeHades II24.4%
Sci-fiLethal Company32.7%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Action Roguelike + Sci-fi

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Primordialis earned 26.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 90 Action Roguelike + Sci-fi launches.
  • Action Roguelike is led by Hades II, with 24.4% of its money.
  • Sci-fi is led by Lethal Company, with 32.7% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Action Roguelike + Sci-fi holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Action Roguelike + Sci-fi through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view87 of 90 launchesWithout the breakout89 of 90 launchesLast 18 months23 of 90 launches
Launches counted903 hits873 hits892 hits231 hits
Earned $100k+3 of 90too few for a rate3 of 87too few for a rate2 of 89too few for a rate1 of 23too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+19 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 44 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+3.4%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell-32.6%1.1 fewer in 100+30.4%1.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewToo few to tellHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Action Roguelike and Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 90 launches.

Launches counted
903 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 90too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
19 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 44 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 90 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
873 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 87too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+3.4%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Primordialis (26.9% of the money): 89 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
892 hits
Earned $100k+
2 of 89too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-32.6%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 90.

Launches counted
231 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 23too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+30.4%1.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action Roguelike and Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 90 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 90 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Primordialis (26.9% of the money): 89 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 90.

Action Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Action Roguelike through every lens, all prices
Action RoguelikeBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,659 of 1,740 launchesWithout the breakout1,739 of 1,740 launchesLast 18 months477 of 1,740 launches
Launches counted1,740124 hits1,659115 hits1,739123 hits47735 hits
Earned $100k+7.1 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 147.1 in 1001 in 147.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$657top tenth $57,858+$714$632$766
Chance against standardthe base-2.7%0.2 fewer in 100-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100+3.0%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+8.7%$57 more-3.8%$25 less+16.6%$109 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Action Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 1,740 launches.

Launches counted
1,740124 hits
Earned $100k+
7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$657top tenth $57,858+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 81 of 1,740 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,659115 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$714
Chance against standard
-2.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+8.7%$57 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (24.4% of the money): 1,739 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,739123 hits
Earned $100k+
7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$632
Chance against standard
-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-3.8%$25 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 477 of 1,740.

Launches counted
47735 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$766
Chance against standard
+3.0%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+16.6%$109 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Action Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 1,740 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 81 of 1,740 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (24.4% of the money): 1,739 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 477 of 1,740.

Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Sci-fi through every lens, all prices
Sci-fiBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,187 of 1,222 launchesWithout the breakout1,221 of 1,222 launchesLast 18 months337 of 1,222 launches
Launches counted1,222107 hits1,187103 hits1,221106 hits33727 hits
Earned $100k+8.8 in 1001 in 118.7 in 1001 in 128.7 in 1001 in 128.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$551top tenth $71,208+$548$548$536
Chance against standardthe base-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100-8.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base-0.5%$3 less-0.5%$3 less-2.7%$15 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,222 launches.

Launches counted
1,222107 hits
Earned $100k+
8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$551top tenth $71,208+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 35 of 1,222 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,187103 hits
Earned $100k+
8.7 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$548
Chance against standard
-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.5%$3 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (32.7% of the money): 1,221 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,221106 hits
Earned $100k+
8.7 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$548
Chance against standard
-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.5%$3 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 337 of 1,222.

Launches counted
33727 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$536
Chance against standard
-8.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-2.7%$15 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,222 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 35 of 1,222 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (32.7% of the money): 1,221 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 337 of 1,222.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Action Roguelike + Sci-fi moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.