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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 4 Oct 2026

Niches / Action RPG + Casual

Niche

Action RPG + Casual

Games tagged both Action RPG and Casual: 227 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Action RPG + Casual priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Action RPG and is about level with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Action RPG and is too small to compare with Casual.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Action RPG + Casual is too small to compare with Action RPG and is too small to compare with Casual: 3 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.7 in 100 for Action RPG and 13.2 in 100 for Casual.

Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 20 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag oneAction RPG
21.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds21.7 in 100
Typical earnings$10,294
Launches281 / 61 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairAction RPG + Casual
3 of 20launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds3 of 20 launches
$1k+13 of 20 launches
$10k+4 of 20 launches
Launches20 / 3 hits
Expected20.4 in 100
TIETied
Tag twomood tagCasual
13.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds13.2 in 100
Typical earnings$3,966
Launches1,010 / 133 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices227 in pairUnder $5133 in pair$5 to $1057 in pair$10 to $2020 in pair$20 to $4017 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Action RPG and Casual priced $10 to $20. 3 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 22.2 in 100 for Action RPG-only games and 13.1 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Action RPG alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.

Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 20 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 13 of 20 launches · $10k+ 4 of 20 launches · $100k+ 3 of 20 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Helleads this pair47.9%
PairJotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel47.9%
Action RPGPath of Exile 235.4%
CasualHouse Flipper 24.1%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Action RPG + Casual

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel earned 47.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 227 Action RPG + Casual launches.
  • Action RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 35.4% of its money.
  • Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 4.1% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Action RPG + Casual holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Action RPG + Casual through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view199 of 227 launchesWithout the breakout226 of 227 launchesLast 18 months53 of 227 launches
Launches counted2276 hits1996 hits2265 hits533 hits
Earned $100k+2.6 in 1001 in 383.0 in 1001 in 332.2 in 1001 in 453 of 53too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$106top tenth $5,229+$131$106under 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+14.1%0.4 more in 100-16.3%0.4 fewer in 100+114.2%3.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+23.6%$25 more0.0%no changeunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Action RPG and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 227 launches.

Launches counted
2276 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$106top tenth $5,229+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 227 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1996 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$131
Chance against standard
+14.1%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
+23.6%$25 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel (47.9% of the money): 226 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
2265 hits
Earned $100k+
2.2 in 1001 in 45
Typical first-year earnings
$106
Chance against standard
-16.3%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 53 of 227.

Launches counted
533 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 53too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+114.2%3.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action RPG and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 227 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 227 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel (47.9% of the money): 226 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 53 of 227.

Action RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Action RPG through every lens, all prices
Action RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,241 of 1,347 launchesWithout the breakout1,346 of 1,347 launchesLast 18 months332 of 1,347 launches
Launches counted1,347109 hits1,24196 hits1,346108 hits33223 hits
Earned $100k+8.1 in 1001 in 127.7 in 1001 in 138.0 in 1001 in 126.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$469top tenth $67,900+$526$469$589
Chance against standardthe base-4.4%0.4 fewer in 100-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100-14.4%1.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+12.2%$57 more0.0%no change+25.6%$120 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Action RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 1,347 launches.

Launches counted
1,347109 hits
Earned $100k+
8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$469top tenth $67,900+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 106 of 1,347 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,24196 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$526
Chance against standard
-4.4%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+12.2%$57 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (35.4% of the money): 1,346 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,346108 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$469
Chance against standard
-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 332 of 1,347.

Launches counted
33223 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$589
Chance against standard
-14.4%1.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+25.6%$120 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Action RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 1,347 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 106 of 1,347 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (35.4% of the money): 1,346 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 332 of 1,347.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
CasualBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view9,216 of 9,755 launchesWithout the breakout9,754 of 9,755 launchesLast 18 months2,936 of 9,755 launches
Launches counted9,755291 hits9,216272 hits9,754290 hits2,936122 hits
Earned $100k+3.0 in 1001 in 343.0 in 1001 in 343.0 in 1001 in 344.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings$248top tenth $9,802+$264$248$230
Chance against standardthe base-1.1%no change-0.3%no change+39.3%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+6.5%$16 more0.0%no change-7.3%$18 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.

Launches counted
9,755291 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings
$248top tenth $9,802+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
9,216272 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings
$264
Chance against standard
-1.1%no change
Typical against standard
+6.5%$16 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
9,754290 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings
$248
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.

Launches counted
2,936122 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$230
Chance against standard
+39.3%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
-7.3%$18 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Action RPG + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.