Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Action RPG + RPG
Action RPG + RPG
Games tagged both Action RPG and RPG: 874 indie paid launches, 58 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Action RPG + RPG priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Action RPG and is about level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it trails Action RPG and is about level with RPG.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Action RPG + RPG trails Action RPG and is about level with RPG: 17.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.7 in 100 for Action RPG and 20.3 in 100 for RPG.
That is about 0.9 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 173 games tagged both Action RPG and RPG priced $10 to $20. 17.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 28.7 in 100 for Action RPG-only games and 21.1 in 100 for RPG-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 173 games priced $10 to $20; 17.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,761.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 173 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Action RPG + RPG holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view791 of 874 launches | Without the breakout873 of 874 launches | Last 18 months217 of 874 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 87458 hits | 79150 hits | 87357 hits | 21711 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $363top tenth $39,150+ | $379 | $362 | $357 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -23.6%1.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.4%$16 more | -0.3%$1 less | -1.7%$6 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action RPG and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 874 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 83 of 874 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (41.4% of the money): 873 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 217 of 874.
Action RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Action RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,241 of 1,347 launches | Without the breakout1,346 of 1,347 launches | Last 18 months332 of 1,347 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,347109 hits | 1,24196 hits | 1,346108 hits | 33223 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 8.0 in 1001 in 12 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $469top tenth $67,900+ | $526 | $469 | $589 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.4%0.4 fewer in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -14.4%1.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +12.2%$57 more | 0.0%no change | +25.6%$120 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 1,347 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 106 of 1,347 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (35.4% of the money): 1,346 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 332 of 1,347.
RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,132 of 3,723 launches | Without the breakout3,722 of 3,723 launches | Last 18 months1,023 of 3,723 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,723297 hits | 3,132251 hits | 3,722296 hits | 1,02385 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.0 in 1001 in 12 | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $701top tenth $63,965+ | $766 | $701 | $893 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.5%no change | -0.3%no change | +4.2%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +9.3%$65 more | 0.0%no change | +27.4%$192 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,723 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 591 of 3,723 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,722 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,023 of 3,723.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Action RPG + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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