Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Action RPG + Sandbox

Niche

Action RPG + Sandbox

Games tagged both Action RPG and Sandbox: 46 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Action RPG + Sandbox priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Action RPG and is about level with Sandbox; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

18 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

2NDRunner-up
Tag oneAction RPG
21.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds21.7 in 100
Typical earnings$10,294
Launches281 / 61 hits
Pairno reading
--No reading
This pairAction RPG + Sandbox
--too few
to read
Odds--
Typical earnings--
Launches18

18 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

1STWinner
Tag twoSandbox
32.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds32.8 in 100
Typical earnings$30,251
Launches360 / 118 hits
Pairno reading
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices46 in pairUnder $516 in pair$5 to $1010 in pair$10 to $2018 in pair$20 to $402: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 18 games tagged both Action RPG and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 9 of 18 of them earned $100k+, against 19.8 in 100 for Action RPG-only games and 31.9 in 100 for Sandbox-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Action RPG alone and is too small to compare with Sandbox alone.

Both: 18 games priced $10 to $20; 9 of 18 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $158,342.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 18 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Path of Kung Fuleads this pair25.5%
PairPath of Kung Fu25.5%
Action RPGPath of Exile 235.4%
SandboxManor Lords23.1%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Action RPG + Sandbox

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Path of Kung Fu earned 25.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 46 Action RPG + Sandbox launches.
  • Action RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 35.4% of its money.
  • Sandbox is led by Manor Lords, with 23.1% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Action RPG + Sandbox is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout.

Action RPG + Sandbox through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view41 of 46 launchesWithout the breakout45 of 46 launchesLast 18 months15 of 46 launches
Launches counted469 hits416 hits458 hits153 hits
Earned $100k+19.6 in 10014.6 in 10017.8 in 1003 of 15too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$862top tenth $335,771+$857$857$857
Chance against standardthe base-25.2%4.9 fewer in 100-9.1%1.8 fewer in 100+2.2%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base-0.6%$5 less; too few to tell-0.6%$5 less-0.6%$5 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Action RPG and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 46 launches.

Launches counted
469 hits
Earned $100k+
19.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$862top tenth $335,771+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 46 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
416 hits
Earned $100k+
14.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$857
Chance against standard
-25.2%4.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.6%$5 less; too few to tell
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Kung Fu (25.5% of the money): 45 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
458 hits
Earned $100k+
17.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$857
Chance against standard
-9.1%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.6%$5 less
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 46.

Launches counted
153 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 15too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$857
Chance against standard
+2.2%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
-0.6%$5 less; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action RPG and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 46 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 46 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Kung Fu (25.5% of the money): 45 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 46.

Action RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Action RPG through every lens, all prices
Action RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,241 of 1,347 launchesWithout the breakout1,346 of 1,347 launchesLast 18 months332 of 1,347 launches
Launches counted1,347109 hits1,24196 hits1,346108 hits33223 hits
Earned $100k+8.1 in 1001 in 127.7 in 1001 in 138.0 in 1001 in 126.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$469top tenth $67,900+$526$469$589
Chance against standardthe base-4.4%0.4 fewer in 100-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100-14.4%1.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+12.2%$57 more0.0%no change+25.6%$120 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Action RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 1,347 launches.

Launches counted
1,347109 hits
Earned $100k+
8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$469top tenth $67,900+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 106 of 1,347 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,24196 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$526
Chance against standard
-4.4%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+12.2%$57 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (35.4% of the money): 1,346 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,346108 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$469
Chance against standard
-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 332 of 1,347.

Launches counted
33223 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$589
Chance against standard
-14.4%1.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+25.6%$120 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Action RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 1,347 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 106 of 1,347 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (35.4% of the money): 1,346 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 332 of 1,347.

Sandbox holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Sandbox through every lens, all prices
SandboxBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,173 of 1,220 launchesWithout the breakout1,219 of 1,220 launchesLast 18 months386 of 1,220 launches
Launches counted1,220206 hits1,173194 hits1,219205 hits38665 hits
Earned $100k+16.9 in 10016.5 in 10016.8 in 10016.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$2,007top tenth $290,975+$2,070$1,992$2,439
Chance against standardthe base-2.1%0.3 fewer in 100-0.4%0.1 fewer in 100-0.3%no change
Typical against standardthe base+3.1%$63 more-0.7%$15 less+21.5%$432 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,220 launches.

Launches counted
1,220206 hits
Earned $100k+
16.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,007top tenth $290,975+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,220 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,173194 hits
Earned $100k+
16.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,070
Chance against standard
-2.1%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+3.1%$63 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (23.1% of the money): 1,219 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,219205 hits
Earned $100k+
16.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,992
Chance against standard
-0.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.7%$15 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 386 of 1,220.

Launches counted
38665 hits
Earned $100k+
16.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,439
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
+21.5%$432 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,220 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,220 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (23.1% of the money): 1,219 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 386 of 1,220.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Action RPG + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.