Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Adventure + Card Game
Adventure + Card Game
Games tagged both Adventure and Card Game: 83 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Adventure + Card Game priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Adventure and is about level with Card Game; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Adventure and is too small to compare with Card Game.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Adventure + Card Game is too small to compare with Adventure and is too small to compare with Card Game: 3 of its 18 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure and 21.7 in 100 for Card Game.
Small sample: 18 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 18 games tagged both Adventure and Card Game priced $10 to $20. 3 of 18 of them earned $100k+, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 22.2 in 100 for Card Game-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Adventure alone and is too small to compare with Card Game alone.
Both: 18 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 18 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 14 of 18 launches · $10k+ 10 of 18 launches · $100k+ 3 of 18 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 18 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Adventure + Card Game is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view69 of 83 launches | Without the breakout82 of 83 launches | Last 18 months24 of 83 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 836 hits | 695 hits | 825 hits | 242 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 2 of 24too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 23 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 40 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.2%no change | -15.7%1.1 fewer in 100 | +15.3%1.1 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 83 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 14 of 83 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Sultan's Game (79.0% of the money): 82 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 24 of 83.
Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Adventure | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launches | Without the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launches | Last 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 7,710449 hits | 7,233421 hits | 7,709448 hits | 2,176124 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $618top tenth $35,206+ | $643 | $618 | $707 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.1%no change | -0.2%no change | -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$25 more | 0.0%no change | +14.4%$89 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.
Card Game is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Card Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view833 of 935 launches | Without the breakout934 of 935 launches | Last 18 months302 of 935 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 93566 hits | 83358 hits | 93465 hits | 30224 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $580top tenth $57,067+ | $650 | $580 | $750 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +12.6%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +12.1%$70 more | 0.0%no change | +29.3%$170 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 935 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 102 of 935 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (29.4% of the money): 934 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 302 of 935.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Adventure + Card Game moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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