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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 11 Nov 2026

Niches / Adventure + Cinematic

Niche

Adventure + Cinematic

Games tagged both Adventure and Cinematic: 255 indie paid launches, 26 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Adventure + Cinematic priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Adventure and is about level with Cinematic; priced $10 to $20 it beats Adventure and trails Cinematic.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Adventure + Cinematic beats Adventure and trails Cinematic: 26.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure and 30.0 in 100 for Cinematic.

That is about 1.3 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

3RDThird
Tag onemood tagAdventure
15.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds15.7 in 100
Typical earnings$8,393
Launches1,315 / 207 hits
Pair leads by10.6 in 100
2NDRunner-up
This pairAdventure + Cinematic
26.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds26.3 in 100
$1k+79 in 100
$10k+55 in 100
Launches38 / 10 hits
Expected20.5 in 100
1STWinner
Tag twoCinematic
30.0in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds30.0 in 100
$1k+80 in 100
$10k+60 in 100
Launches90 / 27 hits
Pair trails by3.7 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Adventure is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices255 in pairUnder $5128 in pair$5 to $1075 in pair$10 to $2038 in pair$20 to $4014 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 38 games tagged both Adventure and Cinematic priced $10 to $20. 26.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.4 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 32.7 in 100 for Cinematic-only games, so the mix beats Adventure alone and trails Cinematic alone.

Both: 38 games priced $10 to $20; 26.3 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 79 in 100 · $10k+ 55 in 100 · $100k+ 26 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 38 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Casting of Frank Stone™leads this pair21.9%
PairThe Casting of Frank Stone™21.9%
AdventurePalworld27.4%
CinematicThe Casting of Frank Stone™9.2%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Adventure + Cinematic

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • The Casting of Frank Stone™ earned 21.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 255 Adventure + Cinematic launches.
  • Adventure is led by Palworld, with 27.4% of its money.
  • It also leads Cinematic, with 9.2% of that tag's money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Adventure + Cinematic is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Adventure + Cinematic through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view243 of 255 launchesWithout the breakout254 of 255 launchesLast 18 months86 of 255 launches
Launches counted25526 hits24325 hits25425 hits8614 hits
Earned $100k+10.2 in 10010.3 in 1009.8 in 1001 in 1016.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$1,163top tenth $106,810+$1,149$1,163under 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+0.9%0.1 more in 100-3.5%0.4 fewer in 100+59.7%6.1 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base-1.2%$14 less0.0%no changeunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Cinematic, 12 to 36 months old: 255 launches.

Launches counted
25526 hits
Earned $100k+
10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,163top tenth $106,810+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 255 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
24325 hits
Earned $100k+
10.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,149
Chance against standard
+0.9%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
-1.2%$14 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Casting of Frank Stone™ (21.9% of the money): 254 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
25425 hits
Earned $100k+
9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings
$1,163
Chance against standard
-3.5%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 86 of 255.

Launches counted
8614 hits
Earned $100k+
16.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+59.7%6.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Cinematic, 12 to 36 months old: 255 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 255 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Casting of Frank Stone™ (21.9% of the money): 254 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 86 of 255.

Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Adventure through every lens, all prices
AdventureBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launchesWithout the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launchesLast 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches
Launches counted7,710449 hits7,233421 hits7,709448 hits2,176124 hits
Earned $100k+5.8 in 1001 in 175.8 in 1001 in 175.8 in 1001 in 175.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings$618top tenth $35,206+$643$618$707
Chance against standardthe base-0.1%no change-0.2%no change-2.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+4.0%$25 more0.0%no change+14.4%$89 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.

Launches counted
7,710449 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$618top tenth $35,206+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
7,233421 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$643
Chance against standard
-0.1%no change
Typical against standard
+4.0%$25 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
7,709448 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$618
Chance against standard
-0.2%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.

Launches counted
2,176124 hits
Earned $100k+
5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$707
Chance against standard
-2.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+14.4%$89 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.

Cinematic is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Cinematic through every lens, all prices
CinematicBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view452 of 489 launchesWithout the breakout488 of 489 launchesLast 18 months144 of 489 launches
Launches counted48963 hits45252 hits48862 hits14425 hits
Earned $100k+12.9 in 10011.5 in 10012.7 in 10017.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$1,363top tenth $162,155+$1,163$1,363$1,372
Chance against standardthe base-10.7%1.4 fewer in 100-1.4%0.2 fewer in 100+34.8%4.5 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base-14.7%$200 less0.0%no change+0.7%$9 more
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Cinematic, 12 to 36 months old: 489 launches.

Launches counted
48963 hits
Earned $100k+
12.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,363top tenth $162,155+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 489 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
45252 hits
Earned $100k+
11.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,163
Chance against standard
-10.7%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-14.7%$200 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Casting of Frank Stone™ (9.2% of the money): 488 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
48862 hits
Earned $100k+
12.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,363
Chance against standard
-1.4%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 144 of 489.

Launches counted
14425 hits
Earned $100k+
17.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,372
Chance against standard
+34.8%4.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
+0.7%$9 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Cinematic, 12 to 36 months old: 489 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 489 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Casting of Frank Stone™ (9.2% of the money): 488 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 144 of 489.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Adventure + Cinematic moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.