Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Adventure + Mystery
Games tagged both Adventure and Mystery: 669 indie paid launches, 59 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Adventure + Mystery priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Adventure and is about level with Mystery; priced $10 to $20 it beats Adventure and trails Mystery.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Adventure + Mystery beats Adventure and trails Mystery: 20.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure and 24.4 in 100 for Mystery.
That is about 1.0 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 164 games tagged both Adventure and Mystery priced $10 to $20. 20.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.0 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 30.9 in 100 for Mystery-only games, so the mix beats Adventure alone and trails Mystery alone.
Both: 164 games priced $10 to $20; 20.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $5,205.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 164 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Adventure + Mystery holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view639 of 669 launches | Without the breakout668 of 669 launches | Last 18 months234 of 669 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 66959 hits | 63956 hits | 66858 hits | 23422 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 | 8.7 in 1001 in 12 | 9.4 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,040top tenth $83,658+ | $1,040 | $1,040 | $872 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | +6.6%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.2%$168 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 669 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 30 of 669 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (24.7% of the money): 668 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 234 of 669.
Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Adventure | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launches | Without the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launches | Last 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 7,710449 hits | 7,233421 hits | 7,709448 hits | 2,176124 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $618top tenth $35,206+ | $643 | $618 | $707 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.1%no change | -0.2%no change | -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$25 more | 0.0%no change | +14.4%$89 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.
Mystery is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,167 of 1,239 launches | Without the breakout1,238 of 1,239 launches | Last 18 months402 of 1,239 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,239109 hits | 1,16795 hits | 1,238108 hits | 40237 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,040top tenth $81,013+ | $1,020 | $1,040 | $797 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -7.5%0.7 fewer in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +4.6%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -1.9%$20 less | 0.0%no change | -23.4%$243 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,239 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 72 of 1,239 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (14.6% of the money): 1,238 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 402 of 1,239.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Adventure + Mystery moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.