Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Adventure + Survival
Games tagged both Adventure and Survival: 317 indie paid launches, 31 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Adventure + Survival priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Adventure and is about level with Survival; priced $10 to $20 it beats Adventure and trails Survival.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Adventure + Survival beats Adventure and trails Survival: 20.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure and 25.4 in 100 for Survival.
That is about 1.0 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 79 games tagged both Adventure and Survival priced $10 to $20. 20.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.5 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 28.7 in 100 for Survival-only games, so the mix beats Adventure alone and trails Survival alone.
Both: 79 games priced $10 to $20; 20.3 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 87 in 100 · $10k+ 61 in 100 · $100k+ 20 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 79 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Adventure + Survival is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view302 of 317 launches | Without the breakout316 of 317 launches | Last 18 months81 of 317 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 31731 hits | 30228 hits | 31630 hits | 815 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.8 in 1001 in 10 | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,023top tenth $95,671+ | $1,003 | $1,023 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -5.2%0.5 fewer in 100 | -2.9%0.3 fewer in 100 | -36.9%3.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -2.0%$20 less | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Survival, 12 to 36 months old: 317 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 317 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (61.6% of the money): 316 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 81 of 317.
Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Adventure | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launches | Without the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launches | Last 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 7,710449 hits | 7,233421 hits | 7,709448 hits | 2,176124 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $618top tenth $35,206+ | $643 | $618 | $707 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.1%no change | -0.2%no change | -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$25 more | 0.0%no change | +14.4%$89 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.
Survival holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Survival | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view991 of 1,033 launches | Without the breakout1,032 of 1,033 launches | Last 18 months283 of 1,033 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,033105 hits | 991101 hits | 1,032104 hits | 28325 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.2 in 100 | 10.2 in 100 | 10.1 in 100 | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,081top tenth $103,143+ | $1,116 | $1,081 | $1,087 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.3%no change | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -13.1%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.2%$35 more | 0.0%no change | +0.6%$6 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Survival, 12 to 36 months old: 1,033 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,033 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (36.7% of the money): 1,032 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 283 of 1,033.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Adventure + Survival moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.