Niche

Adventure + Top-Down

Games tagged both Adventure and Top-Down: 301 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Adventure + Top-Down priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Adventure and is about level with Top-Down; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Adventure and is about level with Top-Down.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Adventure + Top-Down is about level with Adventure and is about level with Top-Down: 16.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure and 17.4 in 100 for Top-Down.

That is about 0.8 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagAdventure

15.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.7 in 100

Typical earnings$8,393

Launches1,315 / 207 hits

A tie, apart by0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

This pairAdventure + Top-Down

16.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds16.1 in 100

$1k+74 in 100

$10k+45 in 100

Launches31 / 5 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagTop-Down

17.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.4 in 100

Typical earnings$9,694

Launches190 / 33 hits

A tie, apart by1.2 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Adventure is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices301 in pair Under $5170 in pair $5 to $1091 in pair $10 to $2031 in pair$20 to $409: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 31 games tagged both Adventure and Top-Down priced $10 to $20. 16.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 17.6 in 100 for Top-Down-only games, so the mix is about level with Adventure alone and is about level with Top-Down alone.

Both: 31 games priced $10 to $20; 16.1 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 74 in 100 · $10k+ 45 in 100 · $100k+ 16 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 31 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Minishoot' Adventuresleads this pair40.7%

PairMinishoot' Adventures40.7%

AdventurePalworld27.4%

Top-DownDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor18.3%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Adventure + Top-Down

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Minishoot' Adventures earned 40.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 301 Adventure + Top-Down launches.
Adventure is led by Palworld, with 27.4% of its money.
Top-Down is led by Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor, with 18.3% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Adventure + Top-Down is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout.

Adventure + Top-Down through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view280 of 301 launches	Without the breakout300 of 301 launches	Last 18 months74 of 301 launches
Launches counted	3018 hits	2805 hits	3007 hits	741 hits
Earned $100k+	2.7 in 1001 in 38	1.8 in 1001 in 56	2.3 in 1001 in 43	1 of 74too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$243top tenth $5,778+	$270	$243	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-32.8%0.9 fewer in 100	-12.2%0.3 fewer in 100	-49.2%1.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+11.1%$27 more	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 301 launches.

Launches counted: 3018 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings: $243top tenth $5,778+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 301 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2805 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.8 in 1001 in 56
Typical first-year earnings: $270
Chance against standard: -32.8%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +11.1%$27 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Minishoot' Adventures (40.7% of the money): 300 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 3007 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.3 in 1001 in 43
Typical first-year earnings: $243
Chance against standard: -12.2%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 74 of 301.

Launches counted: 741 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 74too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -49.2%1.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 301 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 301 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Minishoot' Adventures (40.7% of the money): 300 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 74 of 301.

Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Adventure through every lens, all prices
Adventure	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launches	Without the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launches	Last 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches
Launches counted	7,710449 hits	7,233421 hits	7,709448 hits	2,176124 hits
Earned $100k+	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings	$618top tenth $35,206+	$643	$618	$707
Chance against standard	the base	-0.1%no change	-0.2%no change	-2.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.0%$25 more	0.0%no change	+14.4%$89 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.

Launches counted: 7,710449 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $618top tenth $35,206+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7,233421 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $643
Chance against standard: -0.1%no change
Typical against standard: +4.0%$25 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 7,709448 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $618
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.

Launches counted: 2,176124 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $707
Chance against standard: -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +14.4%$89 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.

Top-Down is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Top-Down through every lens, all prices
Top-Down	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,803 of 1,885 launches	Without the breakout1,884 of 1,885 launches	Last 18 months496 of 1,885 launches
Launches counted	1,88559 hits	1,80352 hits	1,88458 hits	49615 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 32	2.9 in 1001 in 35	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings	$270top tenth $10,036+	$278	$270	$182
Chance against standard	the base	-7.9%0.2 fewer in 100	-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100	-3.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.0%$8 more	0.0%no change	-32.6%$88 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 1,885 launches.

Launches counted: 1,88559 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $270top tenth $10,036+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 82 of 1,885 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,80352 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.9 in 1001 in 35
Typical first-year earnings: $278
Chance against standard: -7.9%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +3.0%$8 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (18.3% of the money): 1,884 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,88458 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $270
Chance against standard: -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 496 of 1,885.

Launches counted: 49615 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $182
Chance against standard: -3.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -32.6%$88 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 1,885 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 82 of 1,885 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (18.3% of the money): 1,884 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 496 of 1,885.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Adventure + Top-Down moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.