Niche

Anime + Visual Novel

Games tagged both Anime and Visual Novel: 639 indie paid launches, 54 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 30+ launches Reset

Showing Anime + Visual Novel priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Anime and is about level with Visual Novel; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Anime + Visual Novel trails both its tags: 8.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.0 in 100 for Anime and 14.7 in 100 for Visual Novel.

That is 1 in 11, about 0.4 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagAnime

14.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.0 in 100

Typical earnings$9,709

Launches351 / 49 hits

Pair trails by5.0 in 100

3RDThird

This pairAnime + Visual Novel

8.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 11

Typical earnings$9,175

Launches179 / 16 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoVisual Novel

14.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.7 in 100

Typical earnings$9,963

Launches434 / 64 hits

Pair trails by5.8 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Anime is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices639 in pair Under $5233 in pair $5 to $10145 in pair $10 to $20179 in pair $20 to $4082 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 179 games tagged both Anime and Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. 8.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.2 in 100 for Anime-only games and 18.8 in 100 for Visual Novel-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 179 games priced $10 to $20; 8.9 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 11), typical first-year earnings $9,175.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 179 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynastyleads this pair16.9%

PairThe Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty16.9%

AnimeGranblue Fantasy: Relink24.7%

Visual NovelSlay the Princess — The Pristine Cut7.1%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Anime + Visual Novel

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty earned 16.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 639 Anime + Visual Novel launches.
Anime is led by Granblue Fantasy: Relink, with 24.7% of its money.
Visual Novel is led by Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut, with 7.1% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Anime + Visual Novel is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Anime + Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view566 of 639 launches	Without the breakout638 of 639 launches	Last 18 months173 of 639 launches
Launches counted	63954 hits	56643 hits	63853 hits	17312 hits
Earned $100k+	8.5 in 1001 in 12	7.6 in 1001 in 13	8.3 in 1001 in 12	6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$2,007top tenth $81,713+	$2,007	$2,007	$1,642
Chance against standard	the base	-10.1%0.9 fewer in 100	-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100	-17.9%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	-18.2%$365 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Anime and Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 639 launches.

Launches counted: 63954 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $2,007top tenth $81,713+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 73 of 639 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 56643 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $2,007
Chance against standard: -10.1%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (16.9% of the money): 638 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 63853 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $2,007
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 173 of 639.

Launches counted: 17312 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,642
Chance against standard: -17.9%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -18.2%$365 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Anime and Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 639 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 73 of 639 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (16.9% of the money): 638 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 173 of 639.

Anime is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Anime through every lens, all prices
Anime	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,404 of 1,560 launches	Without the breakout1,559 of 1,560 launches	Last 18 months450 of 1,560 launches
Launches counted	1,560129 hits	1,404107 hits	1,559128 hits	45041 hits
Earned $100k+	8.3 in 1001 in 12	7.6 in 1001 in 13	8.2 in 1001 in 12	9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$1,040top tenth $74,235+	$1,035	$1,035	$1,179
Chance against standard	the base	-7.8%0.6 fewer in 100	-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100	+10.2%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-0.5%$5 less	-0.5%$5 less	+13.4%$139 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Anime, 12 to 36 months old: 1,560 launches.

Launches counted: 1,560129 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,040top tenth $74,235+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 156 of 1,560 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,404107 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,035
Chance against standard: -7.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.5%$5 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (24.7% of the money): 1,559 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,559128 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.2 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,035
Chance against standard: -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.5%$5 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 450 of 1,560.

Launches counted: 45041 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,179
Chance against standard: +10.2%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: +13.4%$139 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Anime, 12 to 36 months old: 1,560 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 156 of 1,560 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (24.7% of the money): 1,559 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 450 of 1,560.

Visual Novel is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
Visual Novel	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,641 of 1,872 launches	Without the breakout1,871 of 1,872 launches	Last 18 months534 of 1,872 launches
Launches counted	1,872130 hits	1,64199 hits	1,871129 hits	53441 hits
Earned $100k+	6.9 in 1001 in 14	6.0 in 1001 in 17	6.9 in 1001 in 15	7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$1,448top tenth $61,563+	$1,430	$1,445	$1,594
Chance against standard	the base	-13.1%0.9 fewer in 100	-0.7%no change	+10.6%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-1.2%$18 less	-0.2%$3 less	+10.1%$146 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 1,872 launches.

Launches counted: 1,872130 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,448top tenth $61,563+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 231 of 1,872 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,64199 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,430
Chance against standard: -13.1%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.2%$18 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (7.1% of the money): 1,871 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,871129 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $1,445
Chance against standard: -0.7%no change
Typical against standard: -0.2%$3 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 534 of 1,872.

Launches counted: 53441 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,594
Chance against standard: +10.6%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard: +10.1%$146 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 1,872 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 231 of 1,872 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (7.1% of the money): 1,871 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 534 of 1,872.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Anime + Visual Novel moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.