Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Arcade + Racing
Games tagged both Arcade and Racing: 314 indie paid launches, 16 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Arcade + Racing priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Arcade and is about level with Racing; priced $10 to $20 it beats Arcade and is about level with Racing.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Arcade + Racing beats Arcade and is about level with Racing: 21.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 11.6 in 100 for Arcade and 19.6 in 100 for Racing.
That is about 1.1 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 42 games tagged both Arcade and Racing priced $10 to $20. 21.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 10.2 in 100 for Arcade-only games and 18.6 in 100 for Racing-only games, so the mix beats Arcade alone and is about level with Racing alone.
Both: 42 games priced $10 to $20; 21.4 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 81 in 100 · $10k+ 40 in 100 · $100k+ 21 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 42 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Arcade + Racing holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view313 of 314 launches | Without the breakout313 of 314 launches | Last 18 months89 of 314 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 31416 hits | 31316 hits | 31315 hits | 897 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $377top tenth $11,459+ | $377 | $357 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.3%no change | -6.0%0.3 fewer in 100 | +54.4%2.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -5.3%$20 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Racing, 12 to 36 months old: 314 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 314 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, JDM: Japanese Drift Master (48.5% of the money): 313 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 89 of 314.
Arcade is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Arcade | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,559 of 3,583 launches | Without the breakout3,582 of 3,583 launches | Last 18 months1,001 of 3,583 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,58389 hits | 3,55988 hits | 3,58288 hits | 1,00134 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 2.5 in 1001 in 41 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $219top tenth $8,430+ | $220 | $219 | $214 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -1.1%no change | +36.7%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.5%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -2.3%$5 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,583 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,583 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (33.7% of the money): 3,582 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,001 of 3,583.
Racing is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Racing | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view753 of 779 launches | Without the breakout778 of 779 launches | Last 18 months213 of 779 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 77939 hits | 75339 hits | 77838 hits | 21315 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $264top tenth $17,129+ | $283 | $264 | $357 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.5%0.2 more in 100 | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +40.7%2.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.2%$19 more | 0.0%no change | +35.2%$93 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Racing, 12 to 36 months old: 779 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 779 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Assetto Corsa EVO (24.2% of the money): 778 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 213 of 779.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Arcade + Racing moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.