Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Base Building + RPG
Base Building + RPG
Games tagged both Base Building and RPG: 57 indie paid launches, 14 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Base Building + RPG priced $10 to $20, west-facing view. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Base Building and beats RPG; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Base Building and is too small to compare with RPG.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Base Building + RPG is too small to compare with Base Building and is too small to compare with RPG: 4 of its 26 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 33.3 in 100 for Base Building and 20.3 in 100 for RPG.
Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 26 launches, 4 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 26 games tagged both Base Building and RPG priced $10 to $20. 4 of 26 of them earned $100k+, against 35.8 in 100 for Base Building-only games and 20.4 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Base Building alone and is too small to compare with RPG alone.
Both: 26 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 26 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 23 of 26 launches · $10k+ 17 of 26 launches · $100k+ 4 of 26 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 26 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Base Building + RPG is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view50 of 57 launches | Without the breakout56 of 57 launches | Last 18 months19 of 57 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5714 hits | 5012 hits | 5613 hits | 196 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 24.6 in 100 | 24.0 in 100 | 23.2 in 100 | 6 of 19too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 51 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 74 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.3%0.6 fewer in 100 | -5.5%1.3 fewer in 100 | +28.6%7.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Base Building and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 57 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 57 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Enshrouded (88.0% of the money): 56 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 57.
Base Building is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Base Building | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view555 of 584 launches | Without the breakout583 of 584 launches | Last 18 months157 of 584 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 584134 hits | 555128 hits | 583133 hits | 15740 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 22.9 in 100 | 23.1 in 100 | 22.8 in 100 | 25.5 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,622top tenth $614,301+ | $3,718 | $3,582 | $6,067 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.5%0.1 more in 100 | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | +11.0%2.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.7%$96 more | -1.1%$40 less | +67.5%$2,445 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Base Building, 12 to 36 months old: 584 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 29 of 584 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (29.4% of the money): 583 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 157 of 584.
RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,132 of 3,723 launches | Without the breakout3,722 of 3,723 launches | Last 18 months1,023 of 3,723 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,723297 hits | 3,132251 hits | 3,722296 hits | 1,02385 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.0 in 1001 in 12 | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $701top tenth $63,965+ | $766 | $701 | $893 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.5%no change | -0.3%no change | +4.2%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +9.3%$65 more | 0.0%no change | +27.4%$192 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,723 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 591 of 3,723 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,722 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,023 of 3,723.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Base Building + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
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