Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Basketball + Sports
Basketball + Sports
Games tagged both Basketball and Sports: 40 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Basketball + Sports priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Basketball and trails Sports; priced under $5 it is level with Basketball and is level with Sports.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Basketball + Sports is level with Basketball and is level with Sports: 0 of its 15 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0 of 19 launches for Basketball and 0.3 in 100 for Sports.
Small sample: 15 launches, 0 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both Basketball and Sports priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.0 for Basketball-only games and 0.3 for Sports-only games, so the mix is level with Basketball alone and is level with Sports alone.
Both: 15 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $303.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Basketball + Sports is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view38 of 40 launches | Without the breakout39 of 40 launches | Last 18 months26 of 40 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 401 hits | 381 hits | 390 hits | 261 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 0.0 in 100 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,819top tenth $73,268+ | $2,024 | $1,531 | $1,090 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +4.0%0.1 more in 100 | -100.0%2.5 fewer in 100 | +52.0%1.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +11.3%$205 more | -15.8%$288 less | -40.1%$729 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Basketball and Sports, 6 to 30 months old: 40 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 40 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hoop Land (38.4% of the money): 39 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 26 of 40.
Basketball is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| Basketball | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view48 of 50 launches | Without the breakout49 of 50 launches | Last 18 months33 of 50 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 501 hits | 481 hits | 490 hits | 331 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 0.0 in 100 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,531top tenth $15,779+ | $1,819 | $1,090 | $969 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +5.0%0.1 more in 100 | -100.0%2.0 fewer in 100 | +50.0%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +18.8%$288 more | -28.8%$441 less | -36.7%$562 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Basketball, 6 to 30 months old: 50 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 50 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hoop Land (36.7% of the money): 49 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 33 of 50.
Sports holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Sports | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view909 of 929 launches | Without the breakout928 of 929 launches | Last 18 months541 of 929 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 92954 hits | 90954 hits | 92853 hits | 54132 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $810top tenth $51,128+ | $911 | $810 | $668 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.7%0.1 more in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +1.7%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.5%$101 more | 0.0%no change | -17.5%$142 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sports, 6 to 30 months old: 929 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 929 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (27.4% of the money): 928 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 541 of 929.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Basketball + Sports moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.