Niches / Bullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter

Niche

Bullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter

Games tagged both Bullet Heaven and Top-Down Shooter: 41 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Bullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced under $5 it is too small to compare with Bullet Heaven and is too small to compare with Top-Down Shooter.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Bullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter is too small to compare with Bullet Heaven and is too small to compare with Top-Down Shooter: 1 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 3 of 60 launches for Bullet Heaven and 2 of 516 launches for Top-Down Shooter.

Small sample: 20 launches, 1 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneBullet Heaven

3 of 60launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 60 launches

$1k+57 in 100

$10k+15 in 100

Launches60 / 3 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairBullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter

1 of 20launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 20 launches

$1k+12 of 20 launches

$10k+3 of 20 launches

Launches20 / 1 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoTop-Down Shooter

2 of 516launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 516 launches

Typical earnings$109

Launches516 / 2 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 230), typical $162, from 14,050 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices41 in pair Under $520 in pair $5 to $1015 in pair$10 to $206: too few$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Bullet Heaven and Top-Down Shooter priced under $5. 1 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 2 of 40 for Bullet Heaven-only games and 1 of 496 for Top-Down Shooter-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Bullet Heaven alone and is too small to compare with Top-Down Shooter alone.

Both: 20 games priced under $5; 1 of 20 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 12 of 20 launches · $10k+ 3 of 20 launches · $100k+ 1 of 20 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Deep Rock Galactic: Survivorleads this pair77.8%

PairDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor77.8%

Bullet HeavenMegabonk45.2%

Top-Down ShooterEscape From Duckov41.9%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Bullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor earned 77.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 41 Bullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter launches.
Bullet Heaven is led by Megabonk, with 45.2% of its money.
Top-Down Shooter is led by Escape From Duckov, with 41.9% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Bullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Bullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view40 of 41 launches	Without the breakout40 of 41 launches	Last 18 months10 of 41 launches
Launches counted	418 hits	408 hits	407 hits	102 hits
Earned $100k+	19.5 in 100	20.0 in 100	17.5 in 100	2 of 10too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	44 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 80 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+2.5%0.5 more in 100	-10.3%2.0 fewer in 100	+2.5%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Heaven and Top-Down Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 41 launches.

Launches counted: 418 hits
Earned $100k+: 19.5 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 44 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 80 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 41 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 408 hits
Earned $100k+: 20.0 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +2.5%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (77.8% of the money): 40 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 407 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.5 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -10.3%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 10 of 41.

Launches counted: 102 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 10too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +2.5%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Heaven and Top-Down Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 41 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 41 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (77.8% of the money): 40 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 10 of 41.

Bullet Heaven holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Bullet Heaven through every lens, all prices
Bullet Heaven	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view140 of 142 launches	Without the breakout141 of 142 launches	Last 18 months52 of 142 launches
Launches counted	14220 hits	14020 hits	14119 hits	526 hits
Earned $100k+	14.1 in 100	14.3 in 100	13.5 in 100	11.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$8,217top tenth $224,440+	$7,490	$7,490	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+1.4%0.2 more in 100	-4.3%0.6 fewer in 100	-18.1%2.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-8.8%$727 less	-8.8%$727 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Heaven, 12 to 36 months old: 142 launches.

Launches counted: 14220 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $8,217top tenth $224,440+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 142 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 14020 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $7,490
Chance against standard: +1.4%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -8.8%$727 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Megabonk (45.2% of the money): 141 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 14119 hits
Earned $100k+: 13.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $7,490
Chance against standard: -4.3%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -8.8%$727 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 52 of 142.

Launches counted: 526 hits
Earned $100k+: 11.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -18.1%2.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Heaven, 12 to 36 months old: 142 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 142 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Megabonk (45.2% of the money): 141 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 52 of 142.

Top-Down Shooter holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Top-Down Shooter through every lens, all prices
Top-Down Shooter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view809 of 853 launches	Without the breakout852 of 853 launches	Last 18 months238 of 853 launches
Launches counted	85331 hits	80928 hits	85230 hits	23810 hits
Earned $100k+	3.6 in 1001 in 28	3.5 in 1001 in 29	3.5 in 1001 in 28	4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings	$283top tenth $14,687+	$295	$283	$218
Chance against standard	the base	-4.8%0.2 fewer in 100	-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100	+15.6%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.2%$12 more	0.0%no change	-23.0%$65 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 853 launches.

Launches counted: 85331 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $283top tenth $14,687+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 44 of 853 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 80928 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $295
Chance against standard: -4.8%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +4.2%$12 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Escape From Duckov (41.9% of the money): 852 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 85230 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $283
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 238 of 853.

Launches counted: 23810 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $218
Chance against standard: +15.6%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: -23.0%$65 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 853 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 44 of 853 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Escape From Duckov (41.9% of the money): 852 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 238 of 853.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Bullet Heaven + Top-Down Shooter moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.