Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Bullet Hell + Roguelite
Bullet Hell + Roguelite
Games tagged both Bullet Hell and Roguelite: 543 indie paid launches, 34 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Bullet Hell + Roguelite priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Bullet Hell and is about level with Roguelite; priced $10 to $20 it beats Bullet Hell and is about level with Roguelite.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Bullet Hell + Roguelite beats Bullet Hell and is about level with Roguelite: 26.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.5 in 100 for Bullet Hell and 25.7 in 100 for Roguelite.
That is about 1.5 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 46 games tagged both Bullet Hell and Roguelite priced $10 to $20. 26.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 12.5 in 100 for Bullet Hell-only games and 25.7 in 100 for Roguelite-only games, so the mix beats Bullet Hell alone and is about level with Roguelite alone.
Both: 46 games priced $10 to $20; 26.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $12,862.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 46 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Bullet Hell + Roguelite is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view519 of 543 launches | Without the breakout542 of 543 launches | Last 18 months155 of 543 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 54334 hits | 51930 hits | 54233 hits | 1559 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $992top tenth $52,445+ | $940 | $992 | $1,072 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -7.7%0.5 fewer in 100 | -2.8%0.2 fewer in 100 | -7.3%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -5.2%$52 less | 0.0%no change | +8.1%$80 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Roguelite, 12 to 36 months old: 543 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 543 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Megabonk (42.2% of the money): 542 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 155 of 543.
Bullet Hell is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Bullet Hell | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,303 of 1,359 launches | Without the breakout1,358 of 1,359 launches | Last 18 months377 of 1,359 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,35955 hits | 1,30348 hits | 1,35854 hits | 37715 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $501top tenth $22,489+ | $505 | $501 | $574 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -9.0%0.4 fewer in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.8%$4 more | 0.0%no change | +14.6%$73 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,359 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,359 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (44.0% of the money): 1,358 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,359.
Roguelite holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Roguelite | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,875 of 2,011 launches | Without the breakout2,010 of 2,011 launches | Last 18 months615 of 2,011 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,011170 hits | 1,875158 hits | 2,010169 hits | 61552 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,113top tenth $72,554+ | $1,190 | $1,113 | $1,072 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.3%no change | -0.5%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.9%$77 more | 0.0%no change | -3.7%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelite, 12 to 36 months old: 2,011 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 136 of 2,011 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (14.1% of the money): 2,010 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 615 of 2,011.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Bullet Hell + Roguelite moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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