Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Bullet Hell + Shooter
Bullet Hell + Shooter
Games tagged both Bullet Hell and Shooter: 519 indie paid launches, 15 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Bullet Hell + Shooter priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Bullet Hell and trails Shooter; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Bullet Hell + Shooter trails both its tags: 15.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.8 in 100 for Bullet Hell and 21.2 in 100 for Shooter.
That is about 0.7 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 53 games tagged both Bullet Hell and Shooter priced $10 to $20. 15.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.3 in 100 for Bullet Hell-only games and 22.3 in 100 for Shooter-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 53 games priced $10 to $20; 15.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $10,140.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 53 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Bullet Hell + Shooter holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view489 of 519 launches | Without the breakout518 of 519 launches | Last 18 months139 of 519 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 51915 hits | 48914 hits | 51814 hits | 1394 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.9 in 1001 in 35 | 2.9 in 1001 in 35 | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 | 4 of 139too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $337top tenth $12,891+ | $345 | $337 | $372 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.9%no change | -6.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.4%$8 more | 0.0%no change | +10.4%$35 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 519 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 30 of 519 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, VOID/BREAKER (28.4% of the money): 518 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 139 of 519.
Bullet Hell is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Bullet Hell | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,301 of 1,357 launches | Without the breakout1,356 of 1,357 launches | Last 18 months377 of 1,357 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,35758 hits | 1,30151 hits | 1,35657 hits | 37718 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $477top tenth $24,691+ | $503 | $477 | $536 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -8.3%0.4 fewer in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +11.7%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.5%$26 more | 0.0%no change | +12.4%$59 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,357 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (46.7% of the money): 1,356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,357.
Shooter holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Shooter | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,372 of 2,463 launches | Without the breakout2,462 of 2,463 launches | Last 18 months641 of 2,463 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,463147 hits | 2,372140 hits | 2,462146 hits | 64141 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $315top tenth $21,419+ | $330 | $315 | $321 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.6%no change | +7.2%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.8%$15 more | 0.0%no change | +1.9%$6 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 2,463 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 91 of 2,463 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.3% of the money): 2,462 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 641 of 2,463.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Bullet Hell + Shooter moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
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