Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Card Battler + Deckbuilding
Card Battler + Deckbuilding
Games tagged both Card Battler and Deckbuilding: 326 indie paid launches, 39 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Card Battler + Deckbuilding priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Card Battler + Deckbuilding beats both its tags: 24.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.2 in 100 for Card Battler and 23.0 in 100 for Deckbuilding.
That is about 1.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 124 games tagged both Card Battler and Deckbuilding priced $10 to $20. 24.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 21.1 for Card Battler-only games and 21.3 for Deckbuilding-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 124 games priced $10 to $20; 24.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $20,781.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 124 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Card Battler + Deckbuilding holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view307 of 326 launches | Without the breakout325 of 326 launches | Last 18 months188 of 326 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 32639 hits | 30734 hits | 32538 hits | 18820 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.0 in 100 | 11.1 in 100 | 11.7 in 100 | 10.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,647top tenth $146,868+ | $2,728 | $2,548 | $2,367 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -7.5%0.9 fewer in 100 | -2.5%0.3 fewer in 100 | -11.7%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$81 more | -3.7%$99 less | -10.6%$280 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Card Battler and Deckbuilding, 6 to 30 months old: 326 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 19 of 326 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (69.5% of the money): 325 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 188 of 326.
Card Battler holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Card Battler | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view602 of 657 launches | Without the breakout656 of 657 launches | Last 18 months392 of 657 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 65752 hits | 60246 hits | 65651 hits | 39231 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,093top tenth $63,745+ | $1,213 | $1,093 | $1,113 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +11.0%$120 more | 0.0%no change | +1.8%$20 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Battler, 6 to 30 months old: 657 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 55 of 657 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (65.8% of the money): 656 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 392 of 657.
Deckbuilding holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Deckbuilding | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view696 of 736 launches | Without the breakout735 of 736 launches | Last 18 months450 of 736 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 73668 hits | 69662 hits | 73567 hits | 45037 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,343top tenth $90,427+ | $2,526 | $2,305 | $2,104 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.3%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -10.9%1.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.8%$183 more | -1.6%$38 less | -10.2%$239 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Deckbuilding, 6 to 30 months old: 736 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 40 of 736 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (57.3% of the money): 735 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 450 of 736.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Card Battler + Deckbuilding moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.